813
FNUS75 KPSR 170553
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Middle Pasture RX...AZ-SCA
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
1053 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
The initial weather system has departed the region which will result
in a brief reprieve in rain chances and drier conditions on Monday.
Substantial rain chances will return on Tuesday with CWR increasing
to around 60%. There will also be up to a 20% for an isolated t-storm
Tuesday afternoon/evening. Minimum humidity values will range between
50-70% with excellent recovery of 90-100% expected Monday night. Winds
should remain southerly to southeasterly with very little in the way
of gusts, aside from any gusty and erratic winds if a thunderstorm
were to develop in the vicinity.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
CWR.................8 percent.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................60 percent.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.

$$
Forecaster...MS
Requested by...Benjamin Marquez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526082.0/PSR
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bmarquez@forestry.scat-nsn.gov,egoseyun@forestry.scat-nsn.gov