601
FNUS75 KPSR 110051
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Battleship...Tonto National Forest
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
551 PM MST Mon Aug 10 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on August 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH is in effect now through midnight
tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Potential for strong gusty thunderstorm outflow winds and direct
thunderstorm impacts will be the primary hazard the next few
evenings and overnight hours. Best chance (30-40%) for outflow
winds and a thunderstorm this evening will be between
2000-0100MST. Storm chances will be a bit lower tomorrow evening
(20%), with timing mainly between 02-06Z, but additional spotty
activity may develop late tomorrow night through early Wednesday
morning. Outflow wind gusts will be capable of exceeding 35 mph.
Storm chances increase up to 50-60% Wednesday afternoon and
evening.

Aside from thunderstorm influences, wind patterns will be
diurnally driven, with general winds favoring a westerly direction
during the daytime hours with speeds around 5-15 mph and gusts up
to 20-25 mph. Overnight and morning winds will favor downslope and
down valley components with lighter speeds (0-5 mph). Minimum RH
values in the afternoons will be around 25-35% and overnight
recoveries will be good to around 60%.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................33 percent.
Chance of thunder...48 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........58-63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the evening. Chance of showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................12 percent.
Chance of thunder...23 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 8 mph overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.

$$
Forecaster...SB
Requested by...Jonathan Barret
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619399.0/PSR
.DELDT 08/10/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov,jonathan.barret2@usda.gov