699
FNUS75 KPSR 150316
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Middle Pasture...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
816 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A large weather system will slowly move through the region
through the weekend bringing cooler temperatures, increased
humidities, and good chances for wetting rain. Rain chances
remain quite low Saturday, increase overnight, and peak Sunday. An
isolated thunderstorms will be possible (around a 20% chance on
Sunday), which may produce locally heavier rainfall and brief
gusty, erratic winds. Winds will remain mostly below 15 mph
through Saturday night and increase Sunday, becoming breezy with
gusts to around 25 mph possible for much of the day. Wind
directions will favor south to southwest through the period.
MinRHs will also increase from around 30% Saturday to 75-80%
Sunday, with excellent overnight recoveries upwards of 90%.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting southwest
                    8 to 15 mph in the afternoon.


.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
CWR.................28 percent.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South southwest winds 5 to 11 mph.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................86 percent.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.

$$
Forecaster...TW
Requested by...Benjamin Marquez RXB2(T)
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525988.0/PSR
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bmarquez@forestry.scat-nsn.gov,egoseyun@forestry.scat-nsn.gov