650
FNUS75 KPSR 052227
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Bear Fire...San Carlos Reservation
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
327 PM MST Wed Aug 5 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MST on August 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Good overnight recovery is expected tonight with MaxRH`s hovering
between 65-75%. MinRH`s will be pretty dry during the afternoon
Thursday, near 30%, and the high temperatures will remain in the
mid to upper 90s. The main concern will be breezy to windy
conditions and near a 30% chance of thunderstorms later this
evening into tonight, and again Thursday evening/night. Gusty
winds, mostly between 30-35 mph, can be expected tonight (4-8PM)
out of the north, then weakening slight to gusts between 15-20 mph
through the overnight period. Thursday morning will be relaxed
then again another chance of gusty conditions with potential
thunderstorms Thursday night as well, although current models are
showing winds much weaker compared to tonight`s.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
CWR.................22 percent.
Chance of thunder...39 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to around
                    32 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................22 percent.
Chance of thunder...27 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........71-76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
                    the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................14 percent.
Chance of thunder...26 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...AR
Requested by...Incident Commander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619031.0/PSR
.DELDT 08/05/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov