178
FNUS75 KPSR 160058
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Middle Pasture...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
558 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
The main concerns during the forecast period will be breezy
conditions and slight chances for a thunderstorm Sunday. Best
timing for wetting rainfall and possibly an embedded thunderstorm
will be late Sunday morning into the early afternoon, which will
also likely coincide with the strongest southwest winds, with
gusts peaking upwards of 25 mph to as much as 30 mph. After the
line of showers with embedded thunderstorms moves through, winds
will begin to decrease and remain mostly below 10 mph Sunday night
through Monday. Afternoon MinRHs will remain quite high but
decrease slightly from around 70% Sunday to around 55% Monday,
with excellent overnight recoveries expected Sunday night.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................74 percent.
Chance of thunder...22 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 18 mph with gusts up to
                    around 25 to 30 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting southeast
                    4 to 7 mph overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph shifting southwest 5 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...TW
Requested by...Benjamin Marquez RXB2(T)
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526024.0/PSR
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bmarquez@forestry.scat-nsn.gov