541
FXUS65 KPUB 192138
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
238 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- An incoming system will bring snow to the mountain peaks and rain
showers to the lower elevations, through Friday morning.

- Unsettled once again late Sunday into Monday. Temperatures
  remain generally cool.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 237 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025

A deepening low pressure system continues pushing towards our area
from the west. Through the rest of today and into tonight, the
system will move into the Four Corners Region, with increasing south-
southwest flow aloft.

Cloud cover will continue spreading over the region, keeping
overnight low temperatures somewhat warm with mid-upper 30s over the
plains, while the valleys sink into the 20s. Snow showers will
initially spread later tonight over the San Juans before spreading
to the rest of the higher terrain early Thursday morning. Snow
levels still look to remain above 8kft through the duration of this
event, so the lower elevations are still expected to only receive
rain. As for snow totals over the mountain peaks, the San Juans and
the peaks of the southern Sangres will net the highest accumulation
totals around 7-10 inches. The northern Sangres, as well as the
Mosquitos and Sawatch Range, should both see 3-6 inches. The lower
slopes above 8kft currently should only expect an inch or two.

Winter Weather Advisories will come into effect Tonight across the
San Juans and the peaks of the Sangres, with a new one over the top
of Pikes Peak starting at 11am Thursday, with up to 8 inches or so
of snow possible.

Meanwhile, beneficial rain will fall over the eastern plains, with
heavier showers further east towards the KS border. Some areas may
see 1/3" to 1/2" of total liquid precipitation by the end of the day
on Friday.

Impact-wise, while not much snow is expected over the Palmer Divide,
some light accumulations could present briefly slick road conditions
Thursday evening into early Friday. Hazardous travel will also be
possible over the mountain passes throughout the duration of the
incoming snowfall.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 202 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025


Precip over the region will end during the day Friday. It will be
cool Friday with highs only in the 50s.

Saturday should be seasonable and dry.

Sunday, and into early next week, another colder weather system come
into the region. At this time there is still a bit of uncertainty
with this system, and it does look like a cooler, but drier, weather
disturbance. Overall, at this time expect unsettled, cool conditions
early next week. With this system being colder, there will be better
chance of snow over lower elevations.

Midweek should be on the cool side of things, with snow showers over
the central mtns with NW mid level wind flow. /Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1039 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025

KALS: Winds will remain generally diurnal and under 10 knots. Clouds
will increase throughout the day, hovering at the low end of VFR for
most of this forecast period. Late tonight into early Thursday
morning, showers will spread over the higher terrain, with a low-end
chance for some low clouds and precip to move down into the valley.
If showers do approach the terminal, we could be seeing a few hours
of MVFR to IFR ceilings and light showers around the 12Z timeframe.

KCOS and KPUB: VFR conditions are generally expected through 24
hours. Winds will stay generally diurnal and under 10 knots, with
increasing mid-level clouds throughout this forecast period. Thought
showers are expected to spread over portions of the southeast plains
Thursday morning, no precipitation is expected at KCOS or KPUB prior
to 18Z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM MST
Thursday for COZ068.
Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM Thursday to 5 AM MST Friday
for COZ073-075.
Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM Thursday to 5 AM MST Friday
for COZ082.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO