575
FXUS65 KPUB 220527
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1027 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather with seasonal temperatures Saturday.

- Cooler and unsettled on Sunday with mountain snow and lower
  elevation rain.

- Monday mild, then colder weather moving in for mid week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 216 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis is indicating
modest west to northwest flow aloft across the region, with our
parting system continuing to lift out across central Kansas, as
another system is digging across the southern California Coast.
Regional radar and satellite imagery has mostly cloudy skies
across the region, with a few instability showers over the higher
terrain, and a few diminishing showers across the northeast
Colorado plains at this time. Temperatures as of 1 pm remain
cool in the 40s and and 50s across the plains, with mainly 30s
and 40s across the higher terrain.

Latest model data is in good agreement through the day tomorrow,
with short wave ridging building across the Rockies bringing in
warmer and drier weather to the region. Instability showers wane
through the late afternoon, with skies clearing through the evening
as drier air works into the region. Clearing skies cloud lead to
some patchy fog, mainly in the river valleys, with lows in the 20s
and 30s across the plains, and mainly teens and 20s across the
higher terrain. Highs on Saturday will be around seasonal norms, in
the 50s to lower 60s across the plains, and mainly 40s and 50s
across the higher terrain, with some increase in high clouds ahead
of the next system late in the day.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 151 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

Sunday will likely be wet and much cooler as the storm system
over southern California Coast moves over the region. This
system looks to be rather potent, but it appears that it will be
moisture- starved, and should be rather quick moving. Nonetheless,
it promises to bring widespread precip over the region starting
along the CONTDVD Sat night and across all of the region on
Sunday, moving out across the eastern plains Sunday night. At
this time snow will occur in the higher elevations and rain on
the plains. However, believe snow levels will be lower with this
storm as it is a bit colder than the system that moved over us
on Thursday. Snow amounts will are also expected to be higher
with this system, with generally 5 to 10 amounts for the higher
mtns.

For Monday, expect dry weather for the region with seasonable temps.

Starting Tuesday, another trough will move in from the Pacific NW
and this system has some cold air with it, and this cold air will
move into the region Tuesday. The 60s over the plains on Monday will
be replaced by 30s and 40s on Tuesday. We could see some passing
rain/snow showers over the region on Tuesday. The cool weather
will last into Wednesday. Temperatures are expected to warm up a
bit for Thanksgiving and into the holiday weekend as mid level
ridging builds over the area. /Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1026 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

LIFR cigs have developed over KCOS and near KPUB due to light
southeast upslope winds. IFR to LIFR vis in fog will be
possible at both terminals overnight with clouds receding
eastward from the mountains as north to northwesterly drainage
winds set up between 12z and 15z Sat. KALS will also see IFR to
LIFR cigs/vis develop overnight and persist through 15-16z. VFR
conditions return for all three TAF sites on Saturday with
light south to southeast winds increasing in the afternoon at
10-15 kts. High clouds will invade from the south Saturday
evening. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...KT