018
FXUS65 KPUB 251708
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1008 AM MST Tue Nov 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A cold front comes through this morning, keeping temperatures
  slightly cooler than normal for today.

- Dry conditions with near normal temperatures Wednesday and
  Thanksgiving, then above normal temperatures for Friday.

- Incoming pattern change starts Friday night and lasts into
  Monday, with significantly colder temperatures and increasing
  chances for precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 301 AM MST Tue Nov 25 2025

Currently..

Satellite imagery shows clear skies over the plains and increasing
clouds over the high country. Fog is present over the San Luis Vally
again this morning, though it appears to be more patchy and less
dense on area webcams. Temperatures are in the 20s for our mountain
valleys, with 30s and 40s over the plains. Dew points are mostly in
the 20s.

Today and Tonight..

A trough passing well to our north still looks to drop a cold front
across our plains throughout the morning. The front will likely come
through in pieces for most of us, but our far eastern plains may be
gusty out of the north for a few hours as it is coming through.
Gusts to 30 mph should be the worst of it. The last of the front
looks to be through us by around noon or so, and winds should begin
to ease for all areas after that time. Temperatures will stay cooler
than normal behind this feature though, with highs topping out in
the 40s for most areas both on our plains and through our mountain
valleys. Portions of northern El Paso County that still have snow on
the ground will likely stay in the upper 30s. Partly cloudy skies
are expected on the plains through much of the day. Precipitation is
not expected on the plains with the cold front, but will be possible
for west facing slopes of the central mountains, where orographics
will be favored in northwest flow today. Impactful accumulations are
not expected, but a dusting may be possible. Overnight lows will be
chilly post frontal as well, especially if winds weaken enough to
prevent any upslope or cloud development as they are currently
forecast to do. Temperatures are expected to drop down into the
upper teens and low 20s across the plains, with low teens for
mountain valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 301 AM MST Tue Nov 25 2025

Wednesday...Northwest flow aloft will keep dry conditions in place
across the forecast area on Wed, with scattered high level
cloudiness across the central mts. Plan on near-normal temps, with
highs in the 40s to around 50F for the high valleys, and upper 40s
to mid 50s for the plains.

Wednesday night through Friday...Dry conditions will persist through
Thanksgiving and into the first half of Friday, as the dry northwest
flow aloft begins to shift on Thu to a more westerly direction by
Friday, ahead of an incoming system out of the Pacific NW. Seasonal
temps are again forecast for Thanksgiving, then warm to above
normal for Friday across the eastern plains as the westerly flow
aloft translates to a warming downslope flow. There will be an
increase in mid and high level cloudiness on Friday so there may not
be much change to realized temps for the high valleys, and just a
slight increase for the plains. Look for highs on Thanksgiving in
the 40s to around 50F for the high valleys, and in the 50s for the
plains. On Fri, expect readings in the 40s for the high valleys, and
50s to around 60F for the plains.

Friday night through Monday...An approaching system out of the
pacific NW will move into the Rocky Mt region by Friday night, as an
associated surface cold front surges south across the plains. At
this time it looks like there will be just some isolated showers
across the northern half of the forecast area Friday night into
Saturday, and highs on Saturday will only warm into the 30s to
around 40F. The northern stream aloft will keep cool air in place
across the state, and another quick-moving upper disturbance sweeps
across the area Sunday into Monday. This reinforcing blast of Winter
will drop high temps on Sunday by 5 degrees compared to the day
before, then Sunday night will drop into the 5 to 15 degree range
for most spots, followed by a very cold Monday when temps may not
even crack above freezing. as for precipitation chances, snow
potential ramps up across the higher terrain starting Sat night,
then by Mon the temps will be cold enough for some isolated light
snow across the plains. Stay tuned as storm track and strength
develop over the next couple of days. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1006 AM MST Tue Nov 25 2025

KALS...VFR conditions through much of the period. Fog will once
again be possible overnight into Wednesday morning with reduced
CIGS and VIS.

KCOS and KPUB...VFR conditions through the forecast period with
southerly winds near 10 kts into this afternoon, weakening and
shifting easterly this evening into Wednesday morning.  Mozley

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...MOZLEY