Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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Spot Forecast for Schrader Creek Fire...Pueblo Interagency Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
414 PM MDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on July 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds should increase out of the east this evening before shifting around
from a more southerly direction overnight and becoming light.  It is
possible that once winds become light overnight they could briefly shift around
from a more northerly downslope down valley direction around dawn before
becoming dominated by southerly winds in the afternoon.  Showers and
thunderstorms will be more widespread on Wednesday.  Locally heavy rainfall,
lightning and gusty erratic outflow winds will be possible with the stronger
storms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(39 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....76F.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8-12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......9000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

TIME (MDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........39
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............73
RH..............29
20 FT wind dir..E
20 FT wind spd..12
20 FT wind gust.17
Eye lvl wnd dir.E
Eye lvl wnd spd.7
Eye lvl wnd gst.10
Mix hgt (kft)...9.0
Transp wind dir.E
Transp wind spd.16
SDspl kt-ft/1000125

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(54 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2200.
Min temperature.....54F.
Max humidity........64-69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12-22 mph until 2100, then
                    southwest 7-15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms until 2200.
Mixing height.......6500 ft agl until 2000, then 500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 11 mph until 2300. Southwest
                    around 10 mph after 0400.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2000, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  45  56  52  56  58  42  43  44  41  45  57
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............68  66  63  61  60  60  59  58  58  56  55  55
RH..............33  38  44  51  53  53  57  57  60  64  69  69
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.22  22  22  16  16  16  15  15  15  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   7   7   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.13  13  13  10  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...7.5 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   SW
Transp wind spd.17  17  12  10  10  9   10  10  12  10  10  10
SDspl kt-ft/1000115 81  7   6   6   5   6   6   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(38 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms 1100 to 1200, then rain
                    showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....68F.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 7-14 mph until 1500, then southwest
                    10-20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1100.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1000, then 5500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Good after 1100.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  45  27  24  25  22  32  52  48  39  42  34
Weather cov.....                    SCH LKY LKY CHC LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH LKY LKY CHC LKY CHC CHC
Temp............54  56  57  59  62  64  65  65  66  65  67  65
RH..............69  64  62  57  52  50  45  48  45  46  43  46
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   5   5   5   7   7   7   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  13  13  13  16  16  16  21  21  21
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   8   8   8   8   10  10  10  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.0 4.5 6.0 6.5 6.5 6.5 5.5 4.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   10  13  12  12  13  12  15  14
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   16  26  41  65  63  64  70  58  61  59

$$
Forecaster...TORGERSON
Requested by...Cody Cellentani
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617896.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0