Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
867
FNUS75 KPUB 202350
FWSPUB
Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
550 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout much of the
period of interest. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms will
continue to be a concern through the rest of this evening. While
chances for showers drop significantly overnight, an isolated
shower can not be ruled out tonight. A period of drier conditions
is expected during the early to mid morning hours of Friday, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms again becoming a concern
Friday afternoon and persisting into the Friday evening hours,
with conditions drying thereafter. Any showers and thunderstorms
will be capable of producing heavy rainfall this evening and
Friday. As for winds, they are anticipated to maintain an overall
southwesterly to westerly component through the period of
interest. Winds will remain light tonight and Friday night, with
winds increasing slightly Friday afternoon, with gusts around 22
mph. Along with all of that, humidity values will follow the
typical diurnal trend, with values increasing overnight, and
decreasing during the day Friday.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(55 percent) until 2100, then
partly cloudy(48 percent) until 2300, then
mostly cloudy(69 percent). Chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms until 2300, then
slight chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms.
LAL.................4 until 2300, then 3 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....55F.
Max humidity........75-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 14 mph until 2100, then
southwest around 6 mph until 0300, then southwest around 8
mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft agl until 2000, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph until 0500, then west
around 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2000, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60 55 51 46 50 54 58 64 70 76 81 85
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............72 71 65 62 60 57 56 56 55 56 56 55
RH..............44 46 56 65 69 77 80 77 77 74 72 74
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..14 14 14 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.24 24 24 15 15 15 15 15 15 18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
Transp wind spd.18 16 10 10 13 14 13 12 12 13 15 21
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100055 40 11 11 14 15 14 13 13 14 17 23
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 1200, then partly sunny(54
percent). Slight chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms after 1000 until 1200, then
chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until
1700, then slight chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2 until 1200, then 4 until
1700, then 3.
Max temperature.....84F.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms after 1000.
Mixing height.......3500 ft agl until 1100, then 8000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
good.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90 80 71 62 58 54 50 51 51 52 55 59
Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 3
Temp............56 60 64 68 73 78 83 84 84 83 84 83
RH..............69 60 54 47 38 31 25 25 25 26 26 27
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.23 23 23 24 24 24 21 21 21 21 21 21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 4.0 6.5 8.0 9.0 9.5 8.0 8.5 7.0
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W SW W W
Transp wind spd.21 17 21 22 18 16 16 14 13 14 13 12
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100024 21 34 44 67 90 112 110 103 95 91 70
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(59 percent) until 0300, then
partly cloudy(38 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....53F.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 9 mph until 0300, then
west around 7 mph until 0500. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......5000 ft agl until 1900, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63 64 65 66 66 66 66 59 53 46 39 31
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............80 76 68 66 63 61 59 59 58 57 55 53
RH..............30 36 47 52 58 60 64 62 64 64 69 71
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 16 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.13 10 9 8 10 13 15 15 14 14 13 13
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100057 27 14 9 12 14 17 16 15 15 14 14
$$
Forecaster...SIMCOE
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.14/PUB
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0