Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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535
FNUS75 KPUB 181357
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Interlaken...SW IMT
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
757 AM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 MDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions are expected in the area today, with RH dipping to
around 20 percent this afternoon. Winds will generally be out of
the south-southwest, with gusts maxing out in the afternoon around
25 mph. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible
in the area after about 4-5pm and lasting into tonight. Winds near
storms will be gusty and erratic. Though little to no
precipitation is expected at the burn site today or tonight,
outflow could make fire behavior more erratic and there is a low-
end chance for lightning. Storms will largely be south and east of
the forecast site.


Storm chances will increase Wednesday over the area with the best
chances after noon, though RH values will be higher.
Precipitation chances will linger in the area into Wednesday
Night, dissipate Thursday morning, before showers and storms pop
up again Thursday afternoon. Storm coverage will largely be
scattered Weds and Thurs over the mountains, with erratic outflow
gusts and occasional lightning each afternoon and evening.
Generally unsettled weather will continue each afternoon into this
weekend.


.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(41 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....66F.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........light until 0900, then south around 10 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph until 1400, then southwest.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Very good after 1100.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  26  25  24  27  41  54  56  57  59  56  53
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............40  42  44  51  56  60  62  63  64  64  65  66
RH..............73  73  70  54  45  36  32  32  31  32  31  30
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  15  15  15  16  16  16  16  16  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   6   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.5 6.0 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  13  14  16  17  18  21  22  22  21
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100016  21  26  31  55  82  108 109 117 116 107 92

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(50 percent) until 1900, then
                    mostly cloudy(56 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....45F.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph until 2100, then
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft agl until 2100, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph until 2100, then around 10
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then fair until 2000, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  52  55  57  58  59  60  60  61  61  57  54
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............65  63  59  55  53  51  50  49  47  46  45  45
RH..............31  36  45  57  61  68  71  74  79  83  86  86
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  6   6   6   6   6   6   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  16  16  16  14  14  14  12  12  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   6   6   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  12  12  10  10  10  8   8   8   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  17  14  10  10  12  12  12  10  10  10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100084  55  32  15  15  17  17  17  16  16  16  16

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(39 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....73F.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........light until 0900, then south around 13 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......3500 ft agl until 1000, then 8000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Very good after 1200.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  42  33  25  27  29  33  35  38  42  47  53
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............45  48  52  58  63  68  69  70  70  70  70  69
RH..............86  80  71  59  46  34  31  29  29  30  31  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   10  10  10  13  13  13  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  22  22  22  24  24  24  23  23  23
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   6   6   6   8   8   8   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   9   9   13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.5 3.5 4.0 6.5 8.5 11  10  9.0 8.5 8.0 7.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  13  14  16  17  17  18  18  18  18  17  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100015  28  40  58  95  127 170 158 146 134 118 103

$$
Forecaster...GARBEROGLIO
Requested by...Thaddeus McKain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415995.8/PUB
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0