Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
919
UXUS97 KPUB 161208
SRGPUB
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0608 MDT Thursday, October 16, 2025
This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Thursday, October 16, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 50.4 F/10.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 863 ft/min (4.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18195 ft MSL (9229 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 60.0 F/16.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15757 ft MSL (6791 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 10/17....... Excellent
Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:13:59 / 18:24:00 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 10 min 1 sec (670 min 1 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:49:00 MDT... 42.47 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/16/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11832 ft MSL (2866 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13847 ft MSL (4881 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15787 ft MSL (6821 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +3.4
K index......................... +6.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 215 51 26 3.0 1.6 M M M M M
45000 -59.3 -74.7 215 64 33 4.3 2.3 M M M M M
40000 -52.9 -63.2 215 75 39 5.4 3.0 M M M M M
38000 -48.5 -55.3 215 76 39 7.4 4.1 M M M M M
36000 -44.1 -47.4 215 76 39 7.4 4.1 M M M M M
34000 -39.7 -39.5 215 79 41 7.0 3.8 M M M M M
32000 -35.5 -31.9 215 84 43 7.0 3.8 M M M M M
30000 -31.1 -24.0 215 89 46 6.3 3.4 34.3 93.8 14.8 M M
29000 -29.2 -20.6 215 91 47 6.3 3.4 33.0 91.4 13.9 M M
28000 -27.3 -17.1 215 93 48 6.2 3.4 31.8 89.2 13.1 M M
27000 -25.6 -14.1 215 94 49 5.1 2.8 30.3 86.6 12.1 M M
26000 -24.1 -11.4 215 95 49 5.1 2.8 28.5 83.4 10.7 M M
25000 -22.5 -8.5 210 96 49 5.1 2.8 26.9 80.4 9.5 M M
24000 -21.0 -5.8 210 96 50 4.9 2.7 25.3 77.6 8.2 M M
23000 -19.6 -3.3 210 93 48 4.9 2.7 23.5 74.3 6.8 M M
22000 -18.1 -0.6 215 91 47 4.9 2.7 21.8 71.3 5.4 M M
21000 -16.7 1.9 215 87 45 5.0 2.7 20.2 68.4 4.0 M M
20000 -15.2 4.6 210 83 43 5.0 2.7 18.5 65.3 2.5 M M
19500 -14.5 5.9 210 81 42 5.0 2.7 17.7 63.9 1.8 M M
19000 -13.7 7.3 210 79 41 5.0 2.7 17.0 62.5 1.1 M M
18500 -13.0 8.6 210 77 39 5.8 3.2 16.2 61.2 0.5 M M
18000 -12.1 10.2 215 75 39 6.0 3.3 15.6 60.1 -0.1 853 4.3
17500 -11.3 11.7 215 73 38 6.0 3.3 15.0 59.0 -0.7 812 4.1
17000 -10.4 13.3 215 71 37 5.9 3.2 14.4 57.8 -1.4 772 3.9
16500 -9.6 14.7 215 69 36 5.9 3.3 13.7 56.7 -2.0 732 3.7
16000 -8.7 16.3 215 67 35 6.7 3.7 13.2 55.7 -2.6 691 3.5
15500 -7.8 18.0 215 66 34 6.8 3.7 12.7 54.8 -3.2 648 3.3
15000 -6.8 19.8 220 64 33 8.4 4.6 12.2 54.0 -3.7 604 3.1
14500 -4.7 23.5 220 60 31 7.0 3.9 12.2 53.9 -3.8 521 2.6
14000 -3.9 25.0 220 57 29 8.0 4.4 11.6 52.8 -4.5 480 2.4
13500 -2.7 27.1 220 53 27 8.2 4.5 11.3 52.3 -4.8 430 2.2
13000 -1.6 29.1 225 49 25 5.6 3.1 10.9 51.7 -5.2 383 1.9
12500 -0.9 30.4 225 43 22 4.8 2.6 10.2 50.3 -6.0 347 1.8
12000 -0.2 31.6 230 37 19 6.0 3.3 9.5 49.1 -6.7 309 1.6
11750 0.3 32.5 230 36 19 5.5 3.0 9.2 48.5 -7.0 289 1.5
11500 0.7 33.3 235 35 18 4.8 2.6 8.8 47.8 -7.4 270 1.4
11250 1.0 33.8 235 34 18 5.1 2.8 8.4 47.2 -7.8 252 1.3
11000 1.4 34.5 240 33 17 4.3 2.3 8.1 46.5 -8.2 234 1.2
10750 1.7 35.1 235 32 16 5.2 2.9 7.6 45.8 -8.6 218 1.1
10500 2.1 35.8 235 29 15 6.8 3.7 7.4 45.3 -8.9 197 1.0
10250 2.6 36.7 230 27 14 6.5 3.6 7.1 44.8 -9.2 175 0.9
10000 3.0 37.4 230 24 12 5.3 2.9 6.9 44.3 -9.5 155 0.8
9750 3.3 37.9 225 22 11 4.4 2.4 6.5 43.6 -10.0 138 0.7
9500 3.7 38.7 225 19 10 5.9 3.2 6.1 43.0 -10.4 121 0.6
9250 4.1 39.4 220 16 8 5.9 3.3 5.9 42.5 -10.7 100 0.5
9000 4.2 39.6 220 9 4 -3.4 -1.9 5.3 41.6 -11.3 89 0.4
8750 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/16/2025 at 0900 MDT | 10/16/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +2.6 LI... +2.3 | CAPE... +1.3 LI... +1.6
CINH... -0.7 K Index... -24.1 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -38.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.1 -83.4 220 49 25 2.5 1.4 | -63.5 -82.3 220 47 24 2.0 1.1
45000 -59.5 -75.1 215 60 31 4.5 2.5 | -59.6 -75.3 220 60 31 4.6 2.5
40000 -52.7 -62.9 215 72 37 5.1 2.8 | -52.6 -62.7 220 68 35 5.0 2.7
38000 -48.7 -55.7 215 73 38 6.8 3.7 | -48.9 -56.0 215 70 36 6.3 3.4
36000 -44.6 -48.3 210 75 39 6.8 3.7 | -45.2 -49.4 215 71 37 6.3 3.4
34000 -40.3 -40.5 210 76 39 7.3 4.0 | -40.9 -41.6 215 73 37 8.0 4.4
32000 -36.0 -32.8 210 77 40 7.3 4.0 | -36.1 -33.0 215 74 38 8.0 4.4
30000 -31.3 -24.3 215 80 41 6.5 3.6 | -31.5 -24.7 215 75 38 5.6 3.1
29000 -29.3 -20.7 215 82 42 6.5 3.6 | -29.8 -21.6 215 75 39 5.6 3.1
28000 -27.4 -17.3 215 83 43 6.5 3.6 | -28.1 -18.6 215 76 39 5.7 3.1
27000 -25.6 -14.1 215 85 44 5.4 3.0 | -26.2 -15.2 215 76 39 7.7 4.2
26000 -23.9 -11.0 215 88 45 5.4 3.0 | -23.9 -11.0 220 77 40 7.6 4.2
25000 -22.3 -8.1 215 91 47 5.4 3.0 | -21.6 -6.9 220 78 40 7.7 4.2
24000 -20.8 -5.4 215 93 48 4.0 2.2 | -19.5 -3.1 220 79 41 3.5 1.9
23000 -19.6 -3.3 215 91 47 3.9 2.2 | -18.6 -1.5 215 79 41 3.2 1.8
22000 -18.4 -1.1 215 90 46 3.9 2.2 | -17.6 0.3 215 80 41 3.2 1.8
21000 -17.2 1.0 215 88 45 5.0 2.8 | -16.6 2.1 215 79 41 3.5 1.9
20000 -15.7 3.7 215 82 42 5.0 2.7 | -15.6 3.9 215 72 37 3.5 1.9
19500 -15.0 5.0 215 80 41 5.0 2.7 | -15.1 4.8 220 69 36 3.5 1.9
19000 -14.3 6.3 215 77 40 5.0 2.7 | -14.5 5.9 220 66 34 3.4 1.9
18500 -13.5 7.7 215 74 38 6.2 3.4 | -14.0 6.8 220 63 32 5.1 2.8
18000 -12.5 9.5 215 71 36 6.5 3.6 | -13.1 8.4 220 60 31 5.7 3.1
17500 -11.5 11.3 220 67 35 6.5 3.5 | -12.2 10.0 220 56 29 5.9 3.2
17000 -10.6 12.9 220 63 32 5.8 3.2 | -11.3 11.7 225 52 27 6.8 3.7
16500 -9.7 14.5 220 58 30 5.8 3.2 | -10.3 13.5 225 48 25 6.7 3.7
16000 -8.8 16.2 225 54 28 6.9 3.8 | -9.2 15.4 225 45 23 7.1 3.9
15500 -7.2 19.0 225 46 24 6.7 3.7 | -7.6 18.3 230 41 21 7.0 3.8
15000 -5.9 21.4 230 42 22 10.1 5.5 | -6.4 20.5 230 39 20 9.1 5.0
14500 -4.4 24.1 230 39 20 7.9 4.4 | -5.1 22.8 235 38 20 6.6 3.6
14000 -3.6 25.5 230 38 19 5.4 3.0 | -4.3 24.3 235 36 19 6.7 3.7
13500 -2.8 27.0 230 34 18 5.5 3.0 | -3.3 26.1 235 34 17 7.2 3.9
13000 -2.0 28.4 225 31 16 3.5 1.9 | -2.4 27.7 240 31 16 4.1 2.3
12500 -1.8 28.8 230 32 17 2.4 1.3 | -2.0 28.4 240 27 14 3.9 2.2
12000 -1.6 29.1 235 34 18 2.7 1.5 | -1.6 29.1 240 23 12 4.0 2.2
11750 -1.4 29.5 235 33 17 3.8 2.1 | -1.3 29.7 235 20 11 5.3 2.9
11500 -1.1 30.0 235 31 16 4.4 2.4 | -0.9 30.4 235 18 9 6.1 3.4
11250 -0.9 30.4 240 30 15 4.4 2.4 | -0.6 30.9 235 16 8 5.9 3.3
11000 -0.6 30.9 240 28 14 6.0 3.3 | -0.2 31.6 230 14 7 8.8 4.8
10750 -0.1 31.8 235 26 13 7.6 4.2 | 0.6 33.1 230 14 7 10.4 5.7
10500 0.4 32.7 235 25 13 7.8 4.3 | 1.3 34.3 230 13 7 9.3 5.1
10250 1.0 33.8 235 23 12 7.8 4.3 | 2.0 35.6 230 13 7 9.6 5.3
10000 1.4 34.5 230 22 11 5.9 3.2 | 2.7 36.9 230 13 7 10.7 5.9
9750 1.8 35.2 230 20 10 4.9 2.7 | 3.6 38.5 230 13 6 12.0 6.6
9500 2.1 35.8 225 17 9 5.9 3.3 | 4.5 40.1 230 12 6 11.0 6.0
9250 2.6 36.7 225 15 7 9.0 5.0 | 5.4 41.7 230 11 6 16.8 9.2
9000 3.7 38.7 225 10 5 26.4 14.5 | 7.8 46.0 230 10 5 59.2 32.5
8750 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/16/2025 at 1500 MDT | 10/16/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +29.3 LI... +1.4 | CAPE... +3.5 LI... +2.8
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -20.1 | CINH... -3.9 K Index... -15.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.0 -81.4 220 50 26 2.0 1.1 | -62.5 -80.5 230 46 24 2.5 1.3
45000 -59.2 -74.6 220 63 32 4.3 2.4 | -58.1 -72.6 230 60 31 4.4 2.4
40000 -52.7 -62.9 220 71 37 4.5 2.5 | -51.5 -60.7 230 71 37 4.4 2.4
38000 -49.4 -56.9 220 71 37 5.6 3.1 | -49.1 -56.4 225 71 36 3.8 2.1
36000 -46.1 -51.0 220 71 36 5.6 3.1 | -46.8 -52.2 225 70 36 3.8 2.1
34000 -42.1 -43.8 220 71 37 7.8 4.3 | -43.3 -45.9 225 69 36 8.2 4.5
32000 -37.4 -35.3 220 72 37 7.8 4.3 | -38.4 -37.1 225 70 36 8.2 4.5
30000 -32.5 -26.5 220 72 37 6.5 3.6 | -33.2 -27.8 225 69 35 7.1 3.9
29000 -30.6 -23.1 220 72 37 6.5 3.6 | -31.1 -24.0 225 68 35 7.1 3.9
28000 -28.6 -19.5 220 72 37 6.5 3.6 | -29.0 -20.2 225 67 35 7.1 3.9
27000 -26.6 -15.9 220 70 36 7.0 3.9 | -27.0 -16.6 230 66 34 5.5 3.0
26000 -24.5 -12.1 220 67 35 7.0 3.9 | -25.4 -13.7 230 63 33 5.5 3.0
25000 -22.4 -8.3 220 64 33 7.0 3.9 | -23.8 -10.8 230 61 31 5.5 3.0
24000 -20.3 -4.5 220 62 32 6.9 3.8 | -21.9 -7.4 230 59 30 8.7 4.8
23000 -18.2 -0.8 220 63 33 6.9 3.8 | -19.3 -2.7 230 56 29 8.7 4.8
22000 -16.2 2.8 220 65 33 7.0 3.8 | -16.7 1.9 230 54 28 8.7 4.8
21000 -14.6 5.7 220 65 33 -0.0 -0.0 | -14.7 5.5 230 52 27 0.5 0.3
20000 -14.3 6.3 220 59 31 0.8 0.4 | -14.3 6.3 230 49 25 1.4 0.8
19500 -14.2 6.4 225 57 29 0.8 0.4 | -14.1 6.6 230 48 25 1.4 0.8
19000 -14.1 6.6 225 54 28 0.7 0.4 | -13.9 7.0 235 47 24 1.4 0.8
18500 -13.9 7.0 225 52 27 3.4 1.9 | -13.7 7.3 235 45 23 1.3 0.7
18000 -13.2 8.2 225 49 25 4.3 2.3 | -13.5 7.7 235 40 21 1.4 0.8
17500 -12.6 9.3 230 47 24 4.5 2.5 | -13.3 8.1 240 36 18 2.2 1.2
17000 -11.9 10.6 230 43 22 5.5 3.0 | -12.7 9.1 240 30 15 6.1 3.4
16500 -11.1 12.0 235 39 20 5.4 3.0 | -11.9 10.6 240 23 12 5.9 3.2
16000 -10.2 13.6 235 35 18 6.8 3.7 | -10.9 12.4 240 18 9 8.6 4.7
15500 -9.3 15.3 235 31 16 7.0 3.9 | -9.7 14.5 240 14 7 8.7 4.8
15000 -7.6 18.3 240 24 12 9.3 5.1 | -7.7 18.1 240 11 6 9.6 5.3
14500 -6.3 20.7 240 20 10 6.9 3.8 | -6.2 20.8 240 12 6 6.6 3.6
14000 -5.4 22.3 240 17 9 8.2 4.5 | -5.4 22.3 235 12 6 8.3 4.5
13500 -4.2 24.4 235 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -4.1 24.6 230 12 6 8.3 4.6
13000 -3.0 26.6 230 13 7 8.4 4.6 | -2.9 26.8 225 13 7 8.4 4.6
12500 -1.8 28.8 225 12 6 8.6 4.7 | -1.6 29.1 220 13 7 8.8 4.8
12000 -0.5 31.1 220 12 6 9.2 5.1 | -0.3 31.5 220 14 7 9.3 5.1
11750 0.2 32.4 220 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 0.4 32.7 220 13 7 9.8 5.4
11500 0.9 33.6 220 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 1.2 34.2 215 13 7 9.8 5.4
11250 1.7 35.1 220 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 1.9 35.4 215 13 7 9.8 5.4
11000 2.4 36.3 215 12 6 9.6 5.2 | 2.6 36.7 215 13 7 9.9 5.5
10750 3.1 37.6 215 12 6 9.9 5.4 | 3.4 38.1 215 13 7 9.7 5.3
10500 3.9 39.0 215 12 6 10.5 5.8 | 4.1 39.4 215 13 7 9.4 5.1
10250 4.7 40.5 215 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 4.8 40.6 215 13 6 9.5 5.2
10000 5.5 41.9 215 11 6 10.9 6.0 | 5.5 41.9 215 12 6 9.9 5.5
9750 6.3 43.3 215 11 6 11.5 6.3 | 6.2 43.2 215 12 6 10.1 5.5
9500 7.1 44.8 215 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 7.0 44.6 215 11 6 9.1 5.0
9250 7.8 46.0 215 10 5 13.8 7.6 | 7.6 45.7 215 10 5 8.3 4.6
9000 10.3 50.5 215 9 5 64.0 35.1 | 8.3 46.9 215 7 4 11.5 6.3
8750 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
8000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC). It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:
North Latitude: 38 deg 16 min 03 sec
West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613