143
FXUS62 KRAH 260545
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
145 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* No appreciable changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 108 AM Saturday...

1) Seasonal temperatures and dry conditions through the weekend.
Temperatures will gradually trend above normal by the middle of next
week.

2) Dry weather overall, with a signal for increased rain chances
very late late next week or weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 108 AM Saturday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Seasonal temperatures and pleasant conditions
through the weekend. Temperatures will gradually trend above normal
towards the middle to latter part of next week.

An early season Nor`easter will affect portions of the northern Mid-
Atlantic and southeastern New England this weekend will linger over
that region into early next week. The system will eventually weaken
and get kicked eastward as mid/upper level ridging develops over the
central and southern US and tracks eastward into the Carolinas
during the middle to latter part of next week.

Expect a very pleasant and mainly clear/sunny weekend with highs
today in the mid 70s to around 80. Highs will slowly moderate into
the lower 80s Sunday and Monday. Lows will continue very cool, with
40s over the Piedmont again tonight and lower to mid 50s elsewhere,
moderating into the 50s early in the week.

We can expect a warming trend toward the middle to latter part of
next week as ridging builds in from the west. Rising thicknesses and
heights will favor a trend to above normal highs in the mid to upper
80s Wednesday through Friday. Lows will return to the 60s.

KEY MESSAGE 2... Dry weather overall, with a signal for increased
rain chances very late next week or weekend.

It looks dry most, if not all this week. A mid/upper level high
pressure will build east from the Plains to over our region late
this week. This will keep it dry and warm this week.

Our best chance of a return to unsettled weather may not come until
Saturday as high pressure shifts offshore and a progressive trough
moves into the central U.S. by Fri-Sat. This should signal a pattern
change with the trough to our west by next weekend and a return SW
flow with increasing moisture from the Gulf.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 145 AM Saturday...

VFR conditions will prevail for the 24 hour TAF period. For the rest
of the night/early morning, a northerly to northeasterly low level
jet is expected to bring marginal LLWS conditions in the northeast
(RDU/RWI). The WRAL Tall Tower is currently reporting northerly
winds at 34 mph (30 kts) at 1800 ft. After sunrise, expect northerly
winds to gust up to about 20 kts in the east, with the strongest
gusts further east. Otherwise, mostly sunny skies are expected for
much of the day.


Outlook: A dry/continental airmass will remain over cntl NC and
favor VFR conditions for at least the next several days.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett
AVIATION...LH/MWS