Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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610
FXUS62 KRAH 271759
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
158 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface high pressure will build into the area today, then move
overhead tonight and offshore Thursday. Low pressure will pass south
of the region late week, followed by another cool high pressure for
the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 139 PM Wednesday...

Cooler and dry conditions continue this afternoon with temps
hovering in the mid to upper 70s with dew points mixing out into the
upper 40s in many locations. Patchy alto-cu will continue to spread
across central NC through this evening ahead of mid to high level
cloudiness that`s expected early tonight. Overnight lows in the
mid to upper 50s are expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 139 PM Wednesday...

Periods of mid and high level cloudiness will continue on Thursday
as the sfc high pressure shifts offshore. Flow will gradually turn
sswly through Thursday afternoon promoting a bit warmer highs in the
lower to mid 80s. We won`t quite see return moisture just yet, with
dew points mixing out into the lower 50s across the area. Otherwise
expect dry weather through the period with overnight lows in the
upper 50s to around 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 130 PM Wednesday...

* The period of drier air and below normal temperatures continues.

* Mostly dry weather expected, however some light rain may be
  possible Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.

The upper trough will continue to dominate the overall weather
pattern in the long term period. This will allow the below normal
temperatures and dry conditions to generally continue through
Wednesday. However, Saturday through Monday could be an exception to
the dry weather. Unsettled weather is possible over the weekend due
to the potential interaction of a shortwave trough with a coastal
low. Models are still in disagreement with both the strength and
location of the low and with the progression of the cold front
associated with the trough, making the forecast somewhat unclear.
For now, low end rain chances are included in the west and the south
each afternoon, with Sunday looking to have the best chance out of
the three days. Any rain that falls is expected to be light.

Temperatures will remain up to 10 degrees below normal each day.
Friday should be the warmest day, with maximum temperatures in the
80s. Temperatures will drop behind the front on Saturday, however
could warm back into the mid 80s in the southeast before cooler air
filters back in. Sunday through Wednesday should have maximum
temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s to low 80s each afternoon.
Minimum temperatures each night are generally expected in the upper
50s to mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 139 PM Wednesday...

VFR conditions will continue through 18z Thursday under high
pressure. Some high cloudiness is expected late tonight, but
ceilings will be VFR.

Looking beyond 18z Thursday, VFR conditions should generally
continue into this weekend. However, a sfc low will develop along a
frontal boundary across SC/GA this weekend into early next week.
This may promote periods of light rain, and perhaps sub-VFR ceilings
during this period with highest chances at KFAY at this time.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Badgett
NEAR TERM...Luchetti
SHORT TERM...Luchetti
LONG TERM...Helock
AVIATION...Luchetti/Badgett