192
FXUS65 KREV 161905
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1205 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* A 10-20% chance for showers and thunderstorms Sunday for
  Southern Lyon, Mineral, and southeastern Churchill Counties.

* Afternoon winds increase the fire risk Monday for northeast CA
  and northwest NV.

* A weather system could approach the west coast late in the week
  bringing afternoon winds, showers, and thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

For the most part this week will feature run of the mill summer
weather. Plan on afternoon highs for the lower valleys in the low
to mid 90s with 80s for the Sierra. Heating and moisture will
drive afternoon cumulus build ups with shower and thunderstorm
chances 20% or less through mid week. For this afternoon and
Monday afternoon, high resolution models produce minimal activity
over Mineral and southern Churchill counties from 4-8pm.

High pressure over the desert southwest and an elongated area of
low pressure stretching from the Pacific Northwest to 30N 140W
over the Pacific will leave us under a dry southwest flow. The jet
stream associated with the low sits over northern California and
close enough to raise winds gusts to 20-30 mph Monday afternoon.

The low is forecast to back away from the CA coast Tue-Thu
allowing for a shorter duration of afternoon winds along with
light speeds (<20 mph). The low re-approaches the CA and OR coasts
for Friday and the weekend. Simulations show winds increasing to
raise the fire risk again along with bringing moisture for showers
and thunderstorms. Brong

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions the next several days. There is a 10-20% chance
for showers or thunderstorms across Mineral, and southern
Churchill counties from 21z-03z this afternoon and Monday
afternoon. An uptick in WSW winds Monday afternoon and evening
with gusts reaching 20-25 kts for the Tahoe and western NV
terminals. Brong

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$