Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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138
FXUS65 KREV 081959
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1259 PM PDT Wed Oct 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Temperatures warm up through Thursday with mostly sunny to
  partly cloudy skies.

* Winds increase from the southwest each day through Friday.

* A storm system arrives by Friday, bringing cooler temperatures
  and chances for rain and mountain snow through Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Mid-week warming will hit its peak today with valley highs in the
upper 70s and Sierra highs in the low 70s. Afternoon high
temperatures will drop slightly through Friday but plummet
Saturday, with afternoon highs 10-20 degrees below normal.
Overnight lows also drop significantly, with Sunday morning
looking to be the coldest morning of the season so far with lows
in the 20s across the Sierra and flirting with freezing in W NV.

Afternoon wind gusts increase each day through Friday. Gusts today
will range from 25-30 mph across much of the area. Thursday, the
windiest conditions look to be isolated to southern Mono and
Mineral counties with gusts exceeding 35 mph. Isolated stronger
gusts will be possible along wind-prone locations, such as Hwy-95
along Walker Lake and US-395 in Mono county. Afternoon wind gusts
peak Friday with gusts around 35 mph for much of the area.
Ridgetop gusts will range from 50-70 mph each day through Friday.
With low relative humidities, there`s the chance for a couple of
hours of elevated to critical fire weather conditions in Mono and
Mineral counties, as well.

The main culprit for these increased wind gusts is the trough that
is dropping down along the PacNW coast. Gusts will be strongest
ahead of the low pressure system pivoting inland. Once the low
makes landfall, though, expect the chances for rain and snow
showers to increase. NE CA and the Sierra north of the Tahoe Basin
have the best chances (40-60%) for rain, mainly Friday afternoon
and into the evening. Showers will linger overnight and become
more widespread Saturday, though chances (15-25%) and
accumulations will be light. In fact, forecasted accumulations
have trended downward since the last model run, with up 0.05-0.15"
forecasted in Lassen county through this system. Snow levels will
range from 7-7.5 kft Friday into Saturday though accumulations
will be little to none.

-Giralte

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions continue through Thursday with mostly clear skies.
The only exception will be KTRK again with patchy FZFG between
09/12-09/16Z. Afternoon wind gusts will increase each day through
Friday with gusts up to 25 kts today, 30 kts Thursday, and 35 kts
Friday. However, KMMH will see gusts up to 35 kts Thursday. LLWS
can be expected for Sierra terminals from roughly 09/03Z-09/17Z.

-Giralte

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$