


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
447 FXUS65 KREV 161954 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1254 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * A warming trend with drier conditions expected into the upcoming weekend. * Another chance for rain and mountain snow may arrive by Sunday into the start of next week. && .DISCUSSION... High pressure has started to build in today and will remain in place through Saturday. Temperatures will slowly increase each day to a couple degrees above average through Sunday before they start to fall back to near average Monday onward. Our next system looks to move in on Sunday when an upper level trough scrapes by to our north. As of right now there`s only a 20% chance of snow over the Warner Mountains above 8000`, and a 10% chance of rain for Surprise Valley and northern Washoe County. QPF will be minimal with up to 0.05" and up to a trace of snow expected throughout Sunday afternoon. Wind will be the primary hazard out of this system. Widespread gusts of 35-40 mph are also expected Sunday afternoon from Pyramid Lake northward to the OR/NV border, otherwise up to 25-30 mph elsewhere. After Sunday, high pressure moves in once again, keeping our area sunny and dry through Friday. -Justin && .AVIATION... * 40-50% chance to see FZFG at KTRK overnight tonight between 07-17z, otherwise VFR conditions for remaining eastern Sierra and western NV terminals. Winds are overall light (<10kt) out of the north at all terminals. -Justin && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$