902
FNUS75 KREV 151128
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Bogard Suppression Repair Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
328 AM PST Sat Nov 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Snow is likely late Sunday into Monday evening. However,
  there is still uncertainty for amounts and timing.

* Winds are overall light by Monday and remain light through at
  least mid-week.

* The pattern looks to remain active, with additional chances for
  precipitation by late Wednesday into Thursday.


.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow likely through the afternoon.
Temperature.........30 at ignition...Max 35.
RH..................100% at ignition...Min 85%.
20-Foot Winds.......South to southeast 3-7 mph through around 1500,
    then southwest 3-7 mph into the late afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....40% decreasing to 15% in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 1700-2400 ft agl in the
                    afternoon.
Transport Winds.....South 10-15 mph.
Ventilation.........Poor to marginal.

TIME (PST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
Sky (%).........84     71     71     71
Weather cov.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40     20     20     20
Temp............30     32     34     35
RH..............100    100    95     87
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.15     10     10     10
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4    1.0    2.4    2.4
Transport wind..SE 15  S 15   S 10   S 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6      11     19     19
Ventrate Cat....POOR   MRGL   MRGL   MRGL

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of snow in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 23.
RH..................Max 100%.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest to North 2-6 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Mixing Height.......1600-1800 ft agl early in the evening then
                    600-800 ft agl after 3 am.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming north around 10 mph
                    overnight.
Ventilation.........Marginal to poor.

TIME (PST)      4 PM      7 PM      10 PM     1 AM
Sky (%).........66        55        55        49
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....SNOW      SNOW      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10        10        10        10
Temp............33        32        30        27
RH..............85        100       100       100
20 FT wind......NW 4      NW 5      N 3       N 3
Mx ht msl (kft).1.7       0.2       0.5       0.7
Transport wind..S 5       N 5       N 10      N 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10        1         4         6
Ventrate Cat....MRGL      POOR      POOR      POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Max 38.
RH..................Min 75.
20-Foot Winds.......North 3-7 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 1700-2200 ft agl in the
                    afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 10 mph in the morning and
                    early afternoon becoming light.
Ventilation.........Poor to marginal.

TIME (PST)      4 AM      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM
Sky (%).........49        48        45        45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         10        10
Temp............25        24        31        38
RH..............98        98        90        75
20 FT wind......N 3G10    N 3G8     N 5G10    N 3G10
Mx ht msl (kft).0.1       0.1       0.9       2.3
Transport wind..N 10      N 10      E 10      E 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1         0         7         12
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      MRGL

$$
Forecaster...McKellar
Requested by...Rachel Lim
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525935.0/REV
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rachel.lim@usda.gov,brett.matthews@usda.gov