589
FNUS75 KREV 012353
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for R-14 Buffalo...BLM
National Weather Service Reno NV
453 PM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 PDT on September 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

* Warm and dry conditions with poor overnight RH recovery.

* Increasing chances for hybrid thunderstorms (wet and dry mix)
  for Tuesday afternoon and evening. Dry strikes with new
  ignitions possible in receptive fuels.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming becoming
                    mostly cloudy. 25% chance of showers with a
                    15% chance of dry/hybrid thunderstorms.
Temperature.........75 at forecast start...Max 82.
RH..................20% at forecast start...Min 16%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds variable 2-5 mph then becoming southwest
                    8-12 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    possible from nearby thunderstorms.
Chc Wetting Rain....10%.
Chance of thunder...20%.
Transport Winds.....North around 10 mph in the morning becoming light,
                    then becoming southeast around 15 mph late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (PDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
Sky (%).........26        22        54
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    S CHC
CWR.............0         10        10
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         20
Temp............75        81        80
RH..............20        16        17
20 FT wind......NE 8G10   S 10G15   S 12G20
Eye level wind..NE 5G6    S 6G9     S 7G12
Transport wind..E 10      E 10      S 15

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. 25% chance of showers early
                    in the evening with a 15% chance of dry
                    thunderstorms in the evening. 10% chance of showers
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Temperature.........Min 59.
RH..................Max 52%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 8-13 mph becoming west around 7
                    mph overnight, then becoming light after 3 am.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Chance of thunder...15%.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.

TIME (PDT)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
Sky (%).........86        77        68        55
Weather cov.....S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC
CWR............. 5         5         5         5
Chc of thdr (%).20        20        20        20
Temp............79        69        64        61
RH..............19        32        41        46
20 FT wind......SW 13G15  SW 10G15  W 7G10    NW 6G10
Eye level wind..SW 8G9    SW 6G9    W 4G6     NW 4G6
Transport wind..SW 15     SW 10     SW 10     N 5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny.
Temperature.........Max 79.
RH..................Min 21%.
20-Foot Winds.......Upslope 3-7 mph becoming south 7-9 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...10%.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (PDT)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........31        25        6         20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         10        10
Temp............59        63        74        78
RH..............51        48        31        23
20 FT wind......NW 5G10   N 6G10    S 7G10    S 9G15
Eye level wind..NW 3G6    N 4G6     S 4G6     S 5G9
Transport wind..N 5       NE 5      SE 10     S 10

$$
Forecaster...Lindaman
Requested by...Rob Winkler
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520994.2/REV
.DELDT 09/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rwinkler@blm.gov