Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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077
FNUS75 KREV 190207
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Butte Creek Pile Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
607 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on November 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* The break between storms continues Wednesday with light winds
  and limited mixing.

* A weaker quick moving storm will bring lower-end wetting
  precipitation (up to 0.25" liquid and up to 2" snow) late
  Wednesday night through Thursday.

* Temperatures will remain cooler than average with high humidity
  (85% or above) prevailing even through the afternoon hours.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........29 at ignition...Max 43.
RH..................92% at ignition...Min 85%.
20-Foot Winds.......Light south 1-4 mph at ignition...becoming
                    north to northwest 3-7 mph by late morning.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...0%.
Mixing Height.......1700-2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Light winds.
Ventilation.........Poor to marginal.

TIME (PST)      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........20        15        24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0
Temp............29        39        42
RH..............92        88        86
20 FT wind......S 1G5     N 2G10    NW 2G10
Mx ht msl (kft).0.8       2.5       2.7
Transport wind..S 5       S 5       SW 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3         15        16
Ventrate Cat....POOR      MRGL      MRGL

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow
                    late in the evening. Snow likely overnight.
Temperature.........Min 28.
RH..................Max 100%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest to south 3-7 mph. Gusts up to 15 mph
                    by late evening.
Chc Wetting Rain....5% increasing to 35% overnight.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......1000-1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10-15 mph.
Ventilation.........Fair to poor.

TIME (PST)      4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM
Sky (%).........55     55     74     85     85     86
Weather cov.....              S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSN   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     40     40     40
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
Temp............38     34     32     32     32     31
RH..............98     100    100    99     98     96
20 ft wind......SW 2   SW 2   S 3    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     15     15     15
Mx ht msl (kft).1.0    1.0    0.6    1.4    1.4    1.5
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   S 15   S 15   S 15   S 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8      8      7      22     22     18
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR   MRGL

.THURSDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Snow likely in the morning, then
                    chance of snow in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 34.
RH..................Min 96%.
20-Foot Winds.......South 3-7 mph with gusts 10-15 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....50% decreasing to 15% in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......1200-1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to marginal.

TIME (PST)      4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM
Sky (%).........86     86     88     80     80     78
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50     50     50     20     20     20
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
Temp............30     29     M      31     M      M
RH..............96     98     M      100    M      M
20 ft wind......S 3    S 3    S 2    S 3    S 3    N 3
20 ft wind gust.10     10     5      10     10     15
Mx ht msl (kft).1.5    1.5    1.7    1.2    1.2    1.4
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  NE 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13     13     12     8      8      12
Ventrate Cat....MRGL   MRGL   MRGL   POOR   POOR   MRGL

$$
Forecaster...Deutschendorf
Requested by...Charlie Montano
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525872.2/REV
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Charlie.Montano@usda.gov,Brett.Matthews@usda.gov