078
FNUS75 KREV 131922
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Lake Basin...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
1222 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 PDT on October 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Periods of rain and snow will occur over the burn area through
  Tuesday, with wetting precipitation expected. Liquid totals up to
  0.60 inch, mainly Tuesday afternoon-evening.

* Snowfall amounts will be limited, but light accumulations up to 1
  inch may occur late tonight into Tuesday morning.

* Breezy winds today bring good mixing and ventilation, which will
  become more limited Tuesday as winds decrease.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely.
Max Temperature.....Around 38.
Min Humidity........95%.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 10-15 mph. Gusts to 25 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....35%.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......2600-2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph.
Ventilation.........Good.

TIME (PDT)      2 PM
Sky (%).........71
Weather cov.....LIKELY
Weather type....RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40
Chc of thdr (%).10
Temp............37
RH..............100
20 FT wind......S 15G25
Mx ht msl (kft).2.7
Transport wind..S 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..48
Ventrate Cat....GOOD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain and snow likely.
Min Temperature.....Around 33.
Max Humidity........100%.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 6-10 mph shifting to the east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Chc Wetting Rain....20% decreasing to 10% overnight.
Chance of thunder...5%.
Mixing Height.......900-1400 ft agl in the evening.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 10-15 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Ventilation.........Fair through early evening then poor.

TIME (PDT)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
Sky (%).........84        91        76        80
Weather cov.....LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSN      RNSN      RNSN      RNSN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20        20        10        10
Chc of thdr (%).10        10        10        0
Temp............36        34        34        35
RH..............100       100       98        93
20 FT wind......S 9G15    E 9G15    SE 8G15   E 6G10
Mx ht msl (kft).2.1       0.7       0.2       0.2
Transport wind..S 15      SE 10     E 10      E 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..27        6         1         1
Ventrate Cat....FAIR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain and snow in the morning,
                    then rain in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 40.
Min Humidity........95%.
20-Foot Winds.......Upslope 3-7 mph becoming southwest 6-10 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....25% increasing to 70% in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...10%.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 1700-2500 ft agl in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport Winds.....East 10-15 mph.
Ventilation.........Poor through late morning then fair.

TIME (PDT)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........75        73        80        90
Weather cov.....S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSN      RNSN      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30        30        70        70
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         10        10
Temp............34        33        37        39
RH..............100       100       100       100
20 FT wind......E 6G10    SW 6G10   SW 6G10   SW 8G15
Mx ht msl (kft).0.2       0.9       2.5       2.0
Transport wind..E 10      E 10      E 10      NE 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2         6         23        22
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      FAIR      FAIR

$$
Forecaster...Deutschendorf
Requested by...Chris Enriquez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523513.0/REV
.DELDT 10/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christian.enriquez@usda.gov,casey.simoni@usda.gov