454
FNUS75 KREV 162247
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Pack Incident...CAL FIRE
National Weather Service Reno NV
247 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Best chances for snow will be after 10 AM Monday at the burnsite.

* Snow totals by Monday`s end will range 2-6 inches.

* Snow potential continues through late Tuesday, with Wednesday
  offering a brief break. Chances for snow return Thursday.

.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Chance of snow early in the morning,
                    then snow likely late in the morning. Snow in
                    the afternoon. Areas of fog late in the
                    morning.
Temperature.........24-28 at forecast start...Max 38-41.
RH..................95-100% at forecast start...Min 60-65%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds southeast at 5 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise 3-7 mph becoming
                    southeast 7-10 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....25% increasing to 50% in the afternoon.
Transport Winds.....South 10-15 mph increasing to 15-20 mph in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (PST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........75        78        88        84
Weather cov.....CHANCE    LIKELY    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....SNOW      SNOW      SNOW      SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30        30        50        50
Temp............26        33        40        38
RH..............99        100       73        70
20 FT wind......SE 5G10   E 7G15    SE 10G20  SE 9G20
Eye level wind..SE 3G6    E 4G9     SE 6G12   SE 5G12
Transport wind..S 10      S 15      S 20      S 15

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow likely . Patchy fog after 3
                    am.
Temperature.........Min 21-24.
RH..................Max 95-100%.
20-Foot Winds.......Downslope 2-6 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....25% increasing to 35% overnight.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming west around 10 mph after 3
                    am.

TIME (PST)      4 PM      7 PM      10 PM     1 AM
Sky (%).........79        71        75        86
Weather cov.....LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....SNOW      SNOW      SNOW      SNOW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30        30        40        40
Temp............37        31        28        25
RH..............69        70        75        91
20 FT wind......S 6G15    SW 3G10   SW 2G5    W 2G5
Eye level wind..S 4G9     SW 2G6    SW 1G3    W 1G3
Transport wind..S 10      SW 10     W 5       W 10

$$
Forecaster...Richards
Requested by...Alex Giery FBAN
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526062.0/REV
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alexander.giery@fire.ca.gov