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FNUS75 KREV 022333
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for R14 Buffalo...BLM Northern California District
National Weather Service Reno NV
433 PM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 PDT on September 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR DRY LIGHTNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

* Thunderstorms chances continue through this evening. Dry
  lightning strikes and new ignitions are possible.

* Lesser chances of thunderstorms on Wednesday, before increasing
  again by Thursday and Friday.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. 30% thunderstorms capable of
                    dry lightning strikes. Best chances between
                    7-11pm PDT.
Temperature.........81 at forecast start...Min 61.
RH..................17% at forecast start...Max 49%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds southwest 8-12 mph, becoming variable
                    4-7 mph overnight.  Gusty and erratic winds
                    possible near any thunderstorm activity.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Chance of thunder...10%.
Mixing Height.......8200-8400 ft agl early in the evening.
Transport Winds.....West 15-20 mph shifting to the south around 10
                    mph overnight, then shifting to the north after
                    3 am.
Ventilation.........Excellent decreasing to poor in the late
                    evening and overnight.

TIME (PDT)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
Sky (%).........83        91        73        56
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      THUNDR    THUNDR   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10        10        10        10
Chc of thdr (%).10        30        25        0
Temp............81        71        67        64
RH..............17        30        39        46
20 FT wind......SW 10G12  SW 10G12  SE 9G12   NE 8G12
Eye level wind..SW 6G9    SW 6G9    SE 5G9    NE 5G9
Mx ht msl (kft).8.3       0.1       0.1       0.1
Transport wind..W 20      W 15      S 10      N 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..133       1         0         0
Ventrate Cat....EXNT      POOR      POOR      POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudY. 5-10%
                    chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm.
Temperature.........Max 81.
RH..................Min 21%.
20-Foot Winds.......Upslope 3-7 mph becoming south-southeast 8-12 mph with
                    gusts up to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...10%.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 7800-8800 ft agl in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to very good.

TIME (PDT)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........59        23        13        23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         10        10
Temp............61        64        75        79
RH..............49        45        28        22
20 FT wind......NE 6G10   E 6G10    S 8G15    SE 9G15
Eye level wind..NE 4G6    E 4G6     S 5G9     S 5G9
Mx ht msl (kft).0.1       2.3       7.0       9.1
Transport wind..N 5       N 5       S 10      S 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0         14        63        73
Ventrate Cat....POOR      MRGL      GOOD      VYGD

$$

Forecaster...Fuentes
Requested by...Michael Charter
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521149.0/REV
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael_charter@firenet.gov