838
FNUS75 KREV 101716
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for LE-5 IMD...CAL FIRE
National Weather Service Reno NV
916 AM PST Mon Nov 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PST on November 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Warm, dry conditions with light winds will continue Tuesday.
  Cloud cover will increase ahead of an approaching system.

* Precipitation moves into the burn area Wednesday evening,
  with the precipitation type as all rain. Rain will then
  transition to light snow showers early Thursday.

* Winds will also become breezy by Wednesday afternoon, then
  strong gusts Wednesday night.

* Current guidance has a likely chance for wetting precipitation
  on Thursday, possibly lasting until Friday. But uncertainty
  remains in this upcoming system.

.VETERANS DAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 67.
RH..................58% at ignition...Min 32%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds southeast at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Upslope 3-7 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...0%.
Mixing Height.......3100-4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 15 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to good.

TIME (PST)      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........53        52        63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0
Temp............48        65        65
RH..............58        35        34
20 FT wind......SE 2G5    S 2G5     SW 6G10
Mx ht msl (kft).1.1       1.8       4.3
Transport wind..S 5       SW 5      SW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6         11        56
Ventrate Cat....POOR      MRGL      GOOD

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 36.
RH..................Max 81%.
20-Foot Winds.......Downslope 2-6 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...0%.
Mixing Height.......1100-1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming southwest around 10 mph
                    after 3 am.
Ventilation.........Marginal to poor.

TIME (PST)      4 PM      7 PM      10 PM     1 AM
Sky (%).........78        74        45        35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............63        52        45        41
RH..............37        54        63        71
20 FT wind......SW 6G10   SW 5      S 6G10    S 6G10
Mx ht msl (kft).1.5       1.1       1.2       1.1
Transport wind..SW 10     SW 10     SW 5      SW 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14        8         7         8
Ventrate Cat....MRGL      POOR      POOR      POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Max 62.
RH..................Min 43%.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 8-13 mph increasing to southwest
                    13-18 mph with gusts to around 35 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Chance of thunder...0%.
Mixing Height.......4700-5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 35
                    mph.
Ventilation.........Poor to very good increasing to excellent late
                    in the afternoon.

TIME (PST)      4 AM      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM
Sky (%).........40        57        62        47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............38        37        54        61
RH..............78        80        55        43
20 FT wind......S 8G10    S 9G15    S 13G20   SW 18G35
Mx ht msl (kft).1.1       1.1       3.5       6.0
Transport wind..S 10      S 10      S 25      S 35
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8         10        80        179
Ventrate Cat....POOR      MRGL      VYGD      EXNT

$$
Forecaster...Johnston
Requested by...Joe Walton
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525522.0/REV
.DELDT 11/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joe.walton@fire.ca.gov