333
FNUS75 KRIW 022200
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Muddy Mountain Pile Burn...USWFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
300 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 MST on November 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Light snow through the remainder of the afternoon and evening
hours, with lingering flurries overnight. Minimal additional
accumulations are expected. North winds 10 to 15 mph through
2100L becoming less than 10 mph after 2100 from the west through
1200L Tuesday. A slight breeze there after, giving way to fair
smoke dispersal and mixing and good after 1200L Tuesday. Dry
conditions expected Tuesday with clearing skies early in the
morning. Cold temperatures overnight in the mid 20s with mid 30s
expected Tuesday afternoon. Minimum RH values down to around 70
percent Tuesday afternoon.

Warming and dry trend through the remainder of the week with light
winds expected.


...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow showers.
CWR.................81 percent decreasing to 65 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 34.
Min humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......North around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  95  95
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............80  80  70
Chc of pcpn (%).80  90  80
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0
Temp............29  29  30
RH..............100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13
Ridge wind dir..N   N   N
Ridge wind spd..15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N
Transp wind spd.18  17  16
SDspl kt-ft/100024  20  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Snow showers in
                    the evening, then scattered snow showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................65 percent decreasing to 4 percent late in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph until 2100, then
                    west 5 to 10 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......North 15 to 20 mph until 2400, then northwest
                    10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph until 2100, then west around
                    10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  95  95  95  90  90  90  85  80  70  75  70
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF NUM SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70  70  70  70  70  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80  80  80  80  70  50  30  20  20  20  0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............29  29  30  29  30  30  31  30  30  29  28  27
RH..............100 100 100 100 99  97  93  95  96  96  98  100
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   10  11  10  9   8   6   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  13  11  7   10  10  12  12  12
Ridge wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..15  15  20  15  15  15  10  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  17  16  15  12  13  14  15  15  15
SDspl kt-ft/100021  23  24  17  18  20  9   13  9   10  9   7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
 sunny (10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of
pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max
temperature.....Around 36.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around
15 mph after 1200.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  65  45  30  15  15  10  5   5   5   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............26  26  25  28  28  31  34  34  36  34  33  31
RH..............100 100 100 94  93  87  76  73  70  71  79  86
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   9   8   9   10  10  10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  12  13  14  14  14  12  12
Ridge wind dir..W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  16  15  16  17  17  17  16  16
SDspl kt-ft/10007   8   8   12  19  21  26  31  29  25  14  6

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Lowe
Requested by...Eric Fowler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2625087.0/RIW
.DELDT 11/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL efowler@blm.gov