Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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820
FNUS75 KRIW 231351
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for BEAR...USFWS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
751 AM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny and dry through the morning and early afternoon
hours. Increasing storm chances after 1400 through about 2000 but
isolated in nature (~20% coverage). Gusty outflow winds and
lightning the main threats. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies and
temperatures pushing into the low 70s in the afternoon. Minimum
relative humidity values down to near 30 percent with good
recovery overnight. Light winds increase after 1000 out of the
west 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph during the afternoon
hours between 1200 and 1800. Winds become light once again after
2000. Mixing and smoke dispersal will be poor during the morning
and overnight hours with very good conditions with the breezy
westerly winds.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1000, then west 10 to 15 mph
                    with gusts to around 25 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph until 1000, then around 25
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL until 1000, then 4000 ft AGL until
                    1200, then 7500 ft AGL until 1400, then 9500 ft
                    AGL until 1700, then 7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then very good.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  25  15  15  15  25  30  35  30  40
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............55  59  63  66  67  69  69  70  70  70
RH..............69  62  52  48  43  39  35  33  31  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   8   10  11  11  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.12  13  17  18  19  21  22  23  22  23
Ridge wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.5 3.0 4.0 6.0 7.5 8.5 9.5 9.5 7.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  15  17  18  20  21  21  21  22  22
SDspl kt-ft/10007   21  43  68  102 132 156 167 184 137

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......15 percent.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph until 2000, then light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West 15 to 20 mph until 2000, then northwest
                    around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL until 1900. 500 ft AGL after 2000.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph until 2400, then 10 to 12
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 2000, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  55  50  45  60  50  30  35  30  35  40  45
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  64  59  54  51  49  47  45  45  45  43  43
RH..............30  37  47  57  64  68  72  77  75  77  79  81
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  9   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.22  18  14  12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  8
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..20  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  17  13  13  12  12  10  10  10  12  10  10
SDspl kt-ft/1000101 61  7   7   6   6   5   5   5   6   5   5

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1000, then west 10 to 15 mph
                    with gusts to around 20 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph until 1000, then 15 to 20
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000, then 4000 ft AGL until
                    1100, then 7500 ft AGL until 1300, then 8500 ft
                    AGL until 1700, then 6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph until 1000, then 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then very good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  60  50  35  40  25  35  40  50  65  80  60
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  30  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  30  30
Temp............42  41  46  53  62  65  67  68  67  69  66  66
RH..............79  81  70  56  42  37  33  32  32  32  32  33
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   6   9   10  11  11  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.7   7   10  11  14  17  19  20  20  20  19  19
Ridge wind dir..NW  N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 7.5 8.5 8.0 8.0 7.0 6.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   12  16  18  21  22  21  21  20  17
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   7   21  55  93  133 161 146 142 117 95

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs around 70. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
40. Highs around 70. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Lowe
Requested by...BLAKE DAVISON
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620300.0/RIW
.DELDT 08/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wycdc@firenet.gov,blake.davison@usda.gov,roseberrynicholas@gmail.com