730
FXUS61 KRLX 302253
AFDRLX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
653 PM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Updated 00Z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1.) Isolated showers and storms through mid week. Building heat and
humidity this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure across the area, will provide mainly dry conditions to
the region, however, isolated to scattered showers and storms are
possible through mid week, as multiple weak shortwaves cross the
area. Chances are low enough that it was not included in the
forecast per the blend of models for most days this week.

The main story during the period concerns increasing heat and
humidity as we progress into next week as upper ridge builds across
the area. Temperatures next week will climb into the 90s for much of
the lower elevations, and this combined with increasing humidity
will result in heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s at times.
Heat headlines may be needed for a period next week.

Ridge breaks down towards the end of the work week, with increasing
chances for showers and storms, and a break in the oppressive
heat.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Patchy valley fog is expected to develop overnight, though
extent may be limited by cloud cover. Locations that received
rain earlier today will be most likely to experience IFR or
worse conditions in fog tonight.

Any restrictions are expected to improve after 12Z Monday, then
light, west to southwest winds and mainly VFR conditions should
prevail through the end of the TAF period.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to High

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Extent and intensity of fog tonight may
vary from the forecast. Brief restrictions could be possible if
isolated showers/storms were to develop Monday afternoon.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08
EDT 1HRLY       17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...
IFR conditions are possible with patchy river valley fog each
morning through early next week.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SL
AVIATION...20