726
FNUS71 KRLX 162036
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Crooksville Moxahala Creek Flood...Ohio EMA
National Weather Service Charleston WV
436 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on August 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected through Monday,
but the weather pattern overall is trending less active over the
next 24 hours, compared with the past 24.

The primary hazard through Monday will be flash flooding, but damaging
winds can also occur in stronger storms this evening. A tornado or two cannot
be ruled out.

A break in the pattern is expected Tuesday.

Probabilistic Precipitation Forecast through Monday Evening:

Expected amount....................................  0.25 in
10 percent chance of exceeding (low-end amount)....  0.10 in
90 percent chance of exceeding (high-end amount)...  1.25 in

At least half the precipitation will come with a potential round of storms tonight
Timing is 6-8 PM
Less than half the precipitation will come with a potential round Monday afternoon
Timing is 1-7 PM

Hazards in effect:
Marginal Risk for Severe Thunderstorms this evening (down from Slight Risk earlier)
Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall tonight
Flood Watch for Flash Flooding in effect until 8 AM Monday
The area is under a Mesoscale Precipitation discussion until 6 PM this evening
for a 50-74 percent chance for Rapid Onset Flooding

Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall Monday

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely late in the afternoon. Showers likely
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds around 8 mph with gusts to around 22
                    mph.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100  90
Weather cov.....SCH SHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30
Chc of thdr (%).20  20
Temp............75  76
RH..............91  86
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.3   6
Surface wnd gst.3   9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy
                    fog after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...36 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 8 mph with gusts to around 15
                    mph early in the evening becoming light.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........92  86  71  62  59  63  72  67  60  53  60  70
Weather cov.....DEF DEF CHC SCH SCH                     PTY PTY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW                      FOG FOG
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).90  80  30  20  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).40  40  20  20  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............78  77  76  75  74  74  73  73  72  72  71  71
RH..............89  91  91  95  98  99  96  97  95  95  97  98
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.8   8   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3
Surface wnd gst.15  14  11  10  8   8   4   4   4   3   3  3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the
                    morning, then chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  65  68  69  77  84  65  59  65  75  75  63
Weather cov.....PTY PTY SCH PTY     SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG RNF FOG     RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   20  10  10  20  20  40  40  30  30  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............71  70  71  72  75  77  79  79  80  80  80  79
RH..............99  100 100 99  93  88  84  80  78  74  76  77
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.3   3   5   9   9   10  12  12  13  14  14  13

$$
Forecaster...TRM
Requested by...Matt Thigpen
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2619803.0/RLX
.DELDT 08/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mrthigpen@dps.ohio.gov