Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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342
FXUS61 KRNK 241056
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
656 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation Forecast Updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Drier cooler weather remains through the middle of the week,
with next rain chances returning Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Drier cooler weather remains through the middle
of the week, with next rain chances returning Thursday.

Cool, slightly below-average temperatures will linger through
Tuesday as high pressure and an upper-level trough hold firm
over the eastern region. By Wednesday, that trough will finally
shift northeast, allowing heights to rise while the quasi-
stationary Bermuda high slides eastward. Warm, humid air from
the western Atlantic will surge back in under the influence of
the Bermuda high, instantly reviving mid-week summer mugginess.
Late Wednesday into Thursday, an upper-level impulse will sweep
southeast across the northern Great Lakes, dragging a surface
cold front toward the area. This front will bring a return of
rain and thunderstorm chances by Thursday afternoon and evening,
though the exact timing of its arrival will ultimately
determine any threat of severe weather or flash flooding.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
For today, pilots can anticipate unrestricted visibility and
smooth flying conditions. Steady west-to-northwesterly winds
will pick up by the afternoon, blowing between 5 to 10 knots
with occasional gusts reaching up to 20 knots. As twilight
settles and the atmosphere cools, those winds will drop off
completely, leaving calm, quiet air across all fields overnight.

Tonight will begin under VFR for almost all region terminals,
though early risers near KLWB may encounter a brief morning veil
of patchier fog and lowered ceilings that temporarily drops
conditions to MVFR to IFR levels. As soon as the sun breaks over
the horizon Tuesday, the stubborn dry airmass will quickly
sweep those lingering vapors away, leaving wide-open skies
overhead.

OUTLOOK...

Drier airmass will sink into the area today and remain into the
middle of next week. Should be mainly VFR aside from any late
night fog, mainly KLWB. Next system appears to bring some
chances for storms Thursday with possibility for sub-VFR
cigs/vsbys.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RCS
AVIATION...RCS