Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
911 FXUS61 KRNK 260609 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 209 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Aviation forecasts have been updated. Removed isolated showers Sunday and Monday, but added some for Saturday night in the east. All these adjustments are associated with timing and track of a coastal low off the mid-Atlantic coast. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) We are still expecting progressively milder days, cool nights, and little to no precipitation through at least Thursday. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: We are still expecting progressively milder days, cool nights, and little to no precipitation through at least Thursday. Two main features will keep us on the dry side through the middle part of next week. First, a broad, deep area of low pressure will move north along the coast of the mid-Atlatnic region. Precipitation associated with this feature is expected to remain primarily east and northeast of the region. Timing and location has fluctuated as to when eastern portions of the area may be glanced by associated showers. What had been a Sunday/Monday potential, has transitioned to a Saturday night potential. Second, as this deep low makes slow progression north towards and into New England, an upper level ridge and surface high pressure are expected to build over our region by the early portion of next week. This will continue the trend of dry weather, but with building heights will come temperatures which will trend milder. Temperatures will gradually trend from values averaging around or a few degrees below normal this weekend to values a few degrees above normal by Thursday. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VFR conditions are expected to be the predominate flight rules conditions through the course of the valid TAF forecast time period, concluding 06Z/2AM EDT Sunday. The exception will be some late night/early morning patchy fog between generally within an area between roughly KBLF-KBCB-KLWB. Any sub-VFR conditions should improve rapidly after sunrise. Winds will remain generally light from the north, or near calm overnight. During the course of Saturday, that same north wind will be prevailing closer to 10kts with some gusts in the 15 to 20kt range. Winds will slowly weaken and perhaps back northwest Saturday night. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... VFR conditions will be predominate flight rules condition through mid- week. Nightly chances of some river/mountain valley fog will be possible, with any sub-VFR conditions improving rapidly after sunrise. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...DS AVIATION...DS