914
FXUS61 KRNK 011130
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
630 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Rainfall amounts have continued to decrease for the mid-week
system.

Aviation Discussion updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above normal temperatures continue this week with
the next chance of rainfall coming on Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Above normal temperatures continue this week with
the next chance of rainfall coming on Thursday.

Overall, a quiet period is forecast through the remainder of the
weekend and into early next week as high pressure sets up and
remains in influence over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast
through at least Wednesday. While a disorganized shortwave is
expected to move through the region late Sunday into Monday,
much of the region will continue to remain dry thanks to the
aforementioned surface high pressure system advecting dry air
into the region ahead of this upper level shortwave trough.
Nevertheless, some light showers can`t be ruled out in extreme
SW Virginia and portions of SE West Virginia in upslope
locations late tonight into Monday morning. The area looks to
completely dry out once again on Tuesday and most of Wednesday
across the region as high pressure slides east off the Mid-
Atlantic states coastline.

By early Wednesday, an upper shortwave will eject east from the
Rockies into the Central Plains. Surface low will move into the
Great Lakes region by Thursday as a trailing front will push
east and through the region by early Friday. Guidance has
continued to decrease rainfall amounts over the forecast area
given lesser deep moisture transport from the Gulf and
Atlantic as a result of the upper trough lifting well north of
the region. Regardless, should still see a period of areawide
rainfall on Thursday, but amounts look to be less than one inch.

Pattern throughout the week will continue to support above
normal temperatures. Mid 60s to low 70s to start the week,
trending to upper 60s to mid 70s by late week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
No flight restrictions expected for this valid taf period
through tonight. Expect broken to overcast high clouds for the
entire period with east to southeast winds 8kts or less.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR conditions will likely continue into early next week with quiet
weather and continual cloudy skies. A frontal system looks to
approach around the middle of next week bringing with it the
next chance for sub-VFR conditions.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG/EB
AVIATION...BMG/WP