Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
312 FXUS61 KRNK 280013 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 813 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Evening aviation update. Slightly increased PoPs north of I-64 and increased cloud cover for tonight and tomorrow. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Quiet weather through the upcoming week. Isolated shower chances along and north of the I-64 corridor through early Monday. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Quiet weather through the upcoming week. Isolated shower chances along and north of the I-64 corridor through early Monday. The Nor`easter off the Mid-Atlantic coast looks to push slightly southwest through tonight. As this happens, some wrap around moisture and cloud cover may move into the area, especially for areas along and north of I-64. Overall, the impacts from this system will remain minimal for the region. Gusty northwest winds will continue to remain in the 15-25 mph range through this afternoon, with diminishing winds tonight into Monday morning. By Tuesday, the Nor`easter and its associated upper level trough finally lift north and east of the region, which will allow for 500mb heights and upper level ridging to build back into the region. This will return daytime highs back into the upper 70s to low 80s for mountain locations, and upper 80s to low 90s for Piedmont locations starting Wednesday and continuing through the end of the work week. While temperatures will surge to above normal values again, dewpoints look to remain in the 40s/50s which will make the airmass feel much more tolerable. A possible frontal passage late on Friday looks to moderate temperatures back to near normal to start the weekend, and return shower chances to the area. && .AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR continues across all terminals this evening, though cloud cover is increasing for LWB/LYH, as a band of clouds and even a few light showers from the edge of the Nor`Easter swing south into the area. Any stray showers would be brief and limited to LWB/LYH, due to drier air in place over our area, especially for terminals south of I-64. Wind gusts have begun to back off post-sunset, and will remain relatively light overnight, allowing for some patchy fog to form around BLF/LWB. BLF will fall to MVFR VSBY around 09z, along with LWB falling to IFR through sunrise due to VSBY, with MVFR cigs also expected. After 14z, VFR returns to BLF/LWB, and continues for all other terminals, despite heavy cloud cover throughout the day on Monday. Clouds slowly try to break up late in the day, but will persist through the end of the TAF period. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... Monday night will see less cloud cover, which will increase the chance of patchy fog, and sub-VFR due to VSBY. Tuesday through Thursday night is expected to remain dry with VFR flight conditions. The exception will be during each overnight, where patchy river/mountain valley fog will remain possible, especially for LWB. Rain chances return late Friday, which will increase the likelihood of sub-VFR cigs/vsbys, especially west of the Blue Ridge. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...EB/WP AVIATION...JCB