Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 170918
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Beard Mountain WF...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
518 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

At the spot location there could be some patchy frost to start out
this morning, then mostly sunny today. Winds look to be calm to light
and variable (perhaps favoring out of the south to southwest at times).
Minimum RH values could be in the upper 20s.

Tonight looks to become mostly cloudy with calm winds, then Saturday
should be mostly sunny again with light winds out of the southwest to
south (could have some afternoon gusts near 10 mph). Minimum RH values
should be higher near the upper 30s.

The next chance for wetting rain will be Sunday with a frontal system.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy frost early in
                    the morning.
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 1 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 16.

TIME (EDT)      4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........2   1   2   2   4   16  14  23  27  29
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  42  51  57  62  67  69  71  71  71
RH..............86  81  58  46  38  33  29  30  29  30
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   4   4   4   2   2   4   4   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.1 2.2
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..3   2   2   1   1   1   2   3   5   5
LVORI...........6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............4   3   3   3   4   6   9   13  16  13
VRate mph-ft/1K.2   2   2   2   3   5   7   10  13  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 1 to
                    2 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northwest around 1 mph late in the evening
                    shifting to the north around 2 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 5.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........27  37  27  31  40  39  38  60  59  62  67  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  63  57  54  53  53  52  51  50  48  48  47
RH..............35  41  51  58  60  63  64  67  69  72  74  72
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   SW  W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mixng wind dir..W   SW  S   SW  W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
Mixng wind spd..5   3   2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3
ADI.............5   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRate mph-ft/1K.4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 2 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 3 to 10 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 35.

TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........77  69  55  44  36  27  26  24  23  19  14  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  46  46  50  57  65  71  75  77  79  80  79
RH..............75  73  74  70  60  51  45  41  39  39  40  44
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7
Mixng wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  W   SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
Mixng wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   6   8   9   10  10  9
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.............1   2   2   3   4   9   16  25  35  35  34  31
VRate mph-ft/1K.1   1   1   2   4   7   12  20  28  29  27  25

$$
Forecaster...Baker
Requested by...Marcus Sewell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523793.0/RNK
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Marcus.sewell@usda.gov