640
FNUS71 KRNK 230744
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Taylor Hollow...U S Forest Service
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
344 AM EDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0616 EDT on July 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions have returned to the fire location, with northeast
winds expected for much of the day today. These winds will remain
light at around 5 to 8 mph or less, and will slowly transition to
easterly by tonight, and then southeasterly by Friday afternoon,
all while remaining light and variable. During this time, minimum
RH values will only drop into the low 60s across the burn location
as temperatures look to cool and enough moisture will remain over the
region to keep RH values from lowering too much. Overall, there are
no concerns at the burn location as dispersions look favorable during
the afternoon hours each day, and winds remain light enough that the
fire will not spread quickly.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around
                    16 mph early in the morning becoming light.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 7 to 15 mph decreasing to 3 to 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (22900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 to 34.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  31  19  23  34  38  29  32  30  25  26  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  60  61  62  64  65  66  68  70  71  71  71
RH..............84  82  78  75  72  69  66  64  63  62  60  61
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.16  14  14  12  12  11  10  7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.9
Mixng wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Mixng wind spd..10  13  15  15  14  12  9   7   5   3   5   5
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............5   13  19  27  31  34  32  26  21  19  20  23
VRate mph-ft/1K.5   6   14  21  24  26  25  20  16  15  16  18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........East 1 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 23.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........24     27     14     21     5      29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............70     67     64     61     60     60
RH..............63     72     73     76     75     76
20 ft wind......E 2    E 2    E 1    E 1    E 1    E 1
20 ft wind gust.6      7      5      4      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3200   800    500    400    400    400
Mixing wind......E 6    E 7    E 2    E 1    NE 3   NE 5
LVORI...........2      3      3      4      3      4
ADI.............23     3      1      1      2      2
VRate mph-ft/1K.18     6      1      1      1      2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 5 to 14 mph shifting to the east 9 to
                    16 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (47700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 67 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........40     42     57     71     61     73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      10
Temp............59     62     66     68     70     71
RH..............77     74     70     67     66     65
20 ft wind......E 2    E 2    E 2    E 3    SE 3   SE 3
20 ft wind gust.6      6      6      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2600   3500   4300   3700
Mixing wind......NE 5   NE 6   E 14   E 16   E 12   E 9
LVORI...........4      3      3      1      1      1
ADI.............2      6      43     67     58     43
VRate mph-ft/1K.2      4      34     55     49     36

$$
Forecaster...Bunker
Requested by...B. Foltz
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617900.1/RNK
.DELDT 07/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL martin.angelo@usda.gov,adam.christie@usda.gov,brent.foltz@usda.gov