Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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842
FNUS71 KRNK 092239
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Bald Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
539 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EST on November 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front has moved east of the area this afternoon. Behind
the front, winds will be breezy and gusty out of the west to
northwest. Winds are expected to subside some late tonight into
Monday. Winds will increase again Monday night into Tuesday as
another disturbance tracks over the region.

Light rain showers are possible tonight and could change to
flurries by sunrise as very cold air filters into the area. The
chance for measurable precipitation will be greatest Monday
night, but only looking at a one to two hundredth of an inch over
the next 3 days.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 23 to 31 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................26 to 41.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  59  62  65  62  60  58  32  21  34  32  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  50  47  45  42  40  39  38  37  37  36  35
RH..............59  60  62  66  68  69  69  68  67  66  65  66
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  13  12  12  12  12  11  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.23  24  26  26  26  26  26  26  26  26  26  26
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..23  25  28  29  30  31  31  30  29  28  25  23
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............31  34  36  39  40  41  34  33  26  30  28  26
VRate mph-ft/1K.56  64  62  57  66  64  58  44  36  41  41  37

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 37.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 11 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 21 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (41100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (86200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................57 to 91.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  28  28  26  24  23  33  40  49  42  40  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
Temp............33  33  33  34  35  36  36  37  35  35  34  30
RH..............68  68  66  62  57  49  48  46  49  47  49  56
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  11  10  10  9   8   8   8   9   8   9
20 FT wind gust.26  26  26  25  24  23  22  20  21  21  22  24
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.3 2.6 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.9 3.5 3.2 2.5
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..22  21  22  24  25  24  22  21  22  23  25  26
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............57  57  65  81  89  91  84  79  80  81  84  76
VRate mph-ft/1K.47  48  58  79  90  99  93  87  85  81  81  66

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 24.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 11 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 28 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (77400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to good (38900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................31 to 46.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........55  65  71  72  73  62  52  41  37  33  29  29
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............28  27  27  27  27  27  26  25  25  24  24  24
RH..............61  63  63  62  61  60  59  58  57  56  55  57
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..11  11  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.25  26  26  28  28  28  28  28  29  29  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Mixng wind spd..28  29  29  29  29  31  33  35  35  33  32  32
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............31  32  39  38  39  41  44  46  46  44  43  44
VRate mph-ft/1K.46  45  58  61  64  84  88  89  85  79  74  68

.VETERANS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 38 mph
                    decreasing to 28 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 24 to 33 mph decreasing to 20 to 23 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (94400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................58 to 97.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  30  26  22  18  17  17  16  15  13  12  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............24  25  26  28  30  33  35  37  39  39  38  36
RH..............59  60  57  51  47  43  40  37  35  34  34  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  12  11  10  9   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.30  30  30  30  29  26  24  22  21  20  19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.4
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..33  33  33  33  32  30  26  24  23  23  22  20
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............62  59  69  77  82  78  97  89  84  79  73  58
VRate mph-ft/1K.63  57  76  94  109 106 101 95  86  79  71  46

$$
Forecaster...Stonefield
Requested by...Brian Borden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525478.0/RNK
.DELDT 11/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.christie@usda.gov,vavic@firenet.gov,logan.ballesteros@usda.gov,colten.moor@usda.gov