041
FNUS71 KRNK 181000
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Bald Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
500 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0529 EST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Not as much wind (mixing) today as the past few days, but still dry,
as RH bottoms out around 25-30 percent. Look for increasing
clouds this afternoon with wetting rain likely tonight.
RH increases for the rest of the week. Another chance of
wetting rain arrives Friday into Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 2 to 3 mph shifting to the south 5 to 8
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (13400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................1 to 15.

TIME (EST)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  16  19  30  40  51  62  73  84  87  90  93  92
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............34  34  36  35  39  41  44  48  52  53  52  51  50
RH..............51  52  46  49  46  42  38  32  29  28  31  33  35
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   4   5   4   4   8   10  10  11  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.3 0.7
Mixng wind dir..NW  W   W   W   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Mixng wind spd..3   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............1   2   2   3   5   6   11  14  15  15  14  12  8
VRate mph-ft/1K.1   1   1   1   2   6   9   13  15  15  13  10  5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain in the
                    evening decreasing overnight.
CWR (0.01 in).......80 percent decreasing to 10 percent after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest 2 to
                    3 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 to 4.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  90  90  89  89  86  84  81  54  49  38  47
Weather cov.....SCH DEF LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  80  70  80  70  60  70  40  20  10  0   0
Temp............49  47  47  46  46  46  46  45  46  46  47  48
RH..............38  46  49  53  58  64  71  86  94  96  96  98
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.11  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mixng wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Mixng wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   5   3   2   2   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   6   7   8   8   10
ADI.............4   3   3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2   2
VRate mph-ft/1K.3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 3 to 10 mph increasing to 7 to 13 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (26000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 to 35.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  54  58  60  62  61  59  58  56  55  53  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  48  49  51  53  56  58  60  61  62  61  59
RH..............99  86  87  85  81  75  70  66  63  61  61  65
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.3
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   7   10  13  13  12  9   7
LVORI...........9   6   6   5   4   4   3   3   1   2   2   3
ADI.............3   3   3   4   7   16  26  35  32  26  19  12
VRate mph-ft/1K.1   2   2   4   6   12  21  30  27  21  15  9

$$
Forecaster...Perry
Requested by...Brian Borden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526052.3/RNK
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vavac@firenet.gov,brian.theiler@fs.fed,jselby@blm.gov