Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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291
FNUS71 KRNK 112227
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Bald Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
527 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EST on November 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Strong, gusty winds will be the main hazard for the next few days
for the spot location. Gusty west/southwest winds will continue
through the evening hours, though slightly less than earlier
today. Wind gusts will increase again during the overnight and
early morning hours, especially along the ridges, and persist
through Wednesday and Wednesday night, remaining from the west.
These winds will start to diminish by Thursday, but will still be
breezy. Relative humidities will increase into the mid 50% range
overnight, before dropping to near 40% for Wednesday afternoon,
and lower Thursday afternoon, in the low 30% range.

Temperatures will trend warmer through the end of the week, but
the weather will stay dry, as the next chance of precipitation
over the burn location does not arrive until early next week.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Becoming mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then
                    becoming clear (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 to 8.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  48  40  31  58  39  36  12  3   5   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  31  31  31  31  32  31  33  33  34  36  36
RH..............49  48  47  49  49  49  51  50  51  51  49  50
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  11  12  12  13  14  16  17  18  19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6
Mixng wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..13  9   9   10  12  10  8   7   8   9   10  10
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............5   6   4   5   8   5   4   3   3   6   7   7
VRate mph-ft/1K.7   4   5   5   6   5   6   5   6   7   7   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 12 mph. Gusts increasing to
                    35 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 10 to 18 mph increasing to 26 to
                    35 mph in the late morning and afternoon,
                    then decreasing to around 23 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (104600 knot-ft) in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 116 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   1   1   1   4   8   6   8   4   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  37  38  42  45  48  51  53  53  54  52  50
RH..............52  55  54  51  50  47  44  42  45  40  44  48
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..11  11  11  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  11  10
20 FT wind gust.20  20  25  28  28  26  26  26  26  26  25  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.5 1.6
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..10  13  18  26  32  35  33  32  32  31  29  23
LVORI...........2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   10  30  62  90  105 111 115 116 113 100 47
VRate mph-ft/1K.7   8   23  50  77  96  106 118 120 117 101 37

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 24
                    mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (17500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 to 11.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   2   2   5   5   10  13  16  17  22  28  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  44  45  45  44  43  42  41  40  39  39  38
RH..............51  58  58  59  60  62  64  65  65  65  64  65
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  11  11  11  11  10  10  7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.22  21  23  24  23  23  22  21  21  21  20  19
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..16  12  10  12  13  13  12  12  12  10  10  9
LVORI...........2   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............11  8   9   10  11  8   8   8   8   7   7   6
VRate mph-ft/1K.20  11  13  13  15  13  13  13  12  10  8   7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 7 to 13 mph increasing to northwest 16 to
                    25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (79800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 89 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  25  23  21  19  25  30  36  33  30  27  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  37  40  43  46  49  51  52  52  52  50  48
RH..............66  65  60  54  48  43  38  34  33  34  35  39
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  18  19  20  21  21  20  19  19  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.1 2.2
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..7   8   13  20  24  25  25  24  23  22  20  16
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   8   23  48  74  84  88  88  82  89  75  46
VRate mph-ft/1K.6   6   18  39  66  80  88  92  83  73  60  37

$$
Forecaster...Sava
Requested by...Brian Borden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525478.4/RNK
.DELDT 11/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL logan.ballesteros@usda.gov,colten.moor@usda.gov,vavic@firenet.gov,adam.christie@usda.gov