009
FNUS71 KRNK 111101
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Bald Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
601 AM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EST on November 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

...Gusty west to northwest winds today and Wednesday...

The main hazard the next several days will be the wind.
Div Z...Mill Creek Road will be tested by cross winds
the next 3 days...spotting potential increasing as
temperatures warm Wednesday into Thursday.

For today, the strongest winds will be this morning, then
diminish during the afternoon...not as gusty after 1400.
Snow flurries this morning will come to an end with dry
weather for the afternoon.

For tonight, the winds will ramp back up again across the
ridgetops after midnight with windy conditions expected Wednesday.

No meaningful precipitation expected this week.

For Aviation...Strong gusty northwest winds will generate moderate
to severe turbulence, particularly at ridgetop level this morning.
Favorable flight conditions will develop this afternoon through
sunset as wind gusts diminish.  Wednesday looks unfavorable
due to increasing wind gust spread through the entire day.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Morning clouds and flurries, then mostly sunny.
                    Cloud coverage decreasing below 25 percent.
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts 25-35 mph this
                    morning, then decreasing to less than 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 25 to 35 mph shifting to the west 18
                    to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (103400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................24 early in the morning increasing to 108 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  54  26  12  8   4   10  5   4   3   2   9
Weather cov.....SCT
Weather type....SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............21  21  22  25  28  31  34  36  37  38  37  35
RH..............63  68  66  57  50  44  38  36  35  33  35  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  12  13  13  12  11  9   8   8   8   6   6
20 FT wind gust.22  22  30  30  29  26  24  21  21  19  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.6 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.4 1.0
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..32  31  32  33  35  32  30  26  25  24  23  18
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............55  52  71  76  85  86  108 99  95  88  95  24
VRate mph-ft/1K.52  49  84  90  108 119 115 107 101 90  78  18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......less than 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4 to 7 mph. Gusts increasing
                    along the ridgetops after midnight...up to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 to 6.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14  35  22  34  39  33  26  26  12  12  5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  31  31  31  31  31  32  31  32  33  34  35
RH..............43  45  47  46  48  49  51  53  50  50  49  49
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  13  14  14  14  16  17  17  18  19  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6
Mixng wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..14  9   8   9   9   8   7   7   7   8   9   9
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............6   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   5   6   6
VRate mph-ft/1K.8   5   4   4   5   4   5   5   5   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent cloud cover).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 16 mph with gusts 20 to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 10 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (99100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 113 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   7   6   5   8   10  13  10  6   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............35  36  38  41  44  47  50  52  53  52  51  49
RH..............50  51  50  48  46  42  38  36  34  35  39  45
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  10  12  12  15  13  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.22  23  25  26  26  26  26  28  27  25  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 1.4 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 2.6
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..9   12  16  22  26  30  31  32  32  31  29  26
LVORI...........2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............7   9   29  54  76  91  104 113 113 107 96  67
VRate mph-ft/1K.6   7   22  45  66  82  99  114 112 106 93  59

$$
Forecaster...Manuel
Requested by...Brian Borden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525478.3/RNK
.DELDT 11/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL colten.moor@usda.gov,logan.ballesteros@usda.gov,vavic@firenet.gov,adam.christie@usda.gov