860
FNUS71 KRNK 261913
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Boarding house...USDA USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
313 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A weak cold front will slowly track south through the Mid Atlantic
and Carolina states through Friday and resulting in showers and
thunderstorms tonight. Another front with thunderstorms comes across
the region Saturday and Sunday. The humidity will remain high
through the weekend.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......50 percent late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 8 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  54  49  45  54  45  45  45  75
Weather cov.....        SCH     SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....        RW      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH     SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT
CWR.............0   0   20  10  20  30  30  30  50
Temp............72  75  79  74  72  82  82  81  81
RH..............69  64  56  65  76  53  52  50  50
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   10  10  10  11  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 3.2 4.5 5.2 6.1 6.9 7.2 7.4 5.2
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Mixng wind spd..8   13  16  15  14  12  13  14  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Numerous showers
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR (0.01 in).......70 percent in the evening decreasing to
                    30 percent after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 1 to 10 mph shifting to the north around
                    0 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    northwest 1 to 9 mph late in the evening
                    increasing to 3 to 12 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........75     87     88     86     91     94
Weather cov.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CWR.............50     60     70     60     40     30
Temp............81     78     74     70     68     67
RH..............51     60     71     78     82     85
20 ft wind......W 6    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 3    W 3
20 ft wind gust.8      6      7      7      5      4
Mix hgt (ft)....5200   800    600    600    400    300
Mixing wind......S 10   S 3    N 0    NW 5   NW 12  NW 7
Haines index....5      4      4      4      3      3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 1 to 2 mph shifting to the northeast
                    5 to 6 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the east 2 to 3 mph early in the afternoon
                    shifting to the north 3 to 5 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........90     51     41     26     25     25
Weather cov.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CWR.............20     20     20     20     20     20
Temp............65     68     72     75     78     79
RH..............93     87     75     62     51     45
20 ft wind......W 2    W 2    NW 3   NW 4   NW 4   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.4             5      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....300    900    2000   3500   4900   5500
Mixing wind......NW 2   N 1    NE 5   NE 5   E 2    N 3
Haines index....3      4      4      4      5      5

$$
Forecaster...Silverman
Requested by...Samuel Urffer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416736.0/RNK
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Samuel.urffer@usda.gov