807
FXUS63 KSGF 131746
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1246 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain ends this morning. A 15-20% chance for rain this
  afternoon mainly east of Highway 65.

- Highs in the 90s with heat index values of 100-105 during the
  upcoming work week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 249 AM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

Showers and thunderstorms are still moving their way into SE
KS/SW MO early this morning. A couple of severe gusts were
recorded with this convection overnight, but so far has remained
sub-severe over the last couple of hours and it continues to
push south and weaken. Rain chances stick around through Sunday
morning and clouds begin to break up by early afternoon. There
is a 15-20% chance for a thunderstorm over the eastern portions
of the area that didn`t see rain last night. Though, there will
be quite a bit of subsidence over that area which may prevent
storms from even producing at all.

Temperatures will be in the 80s and 90s again today making it
another warm day with a stationary front making its way towards
central MO. Winds will be out of the east-southeast and will
stay around 10 mph or less. Skies will be partly cloudy
overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 249 AM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

A stationary front hangs out over the northern part of our CWA
for most of the week and brings off and on rain chances for
central MO. High pressure will sit over southern MO and keep
that area mostly dry through mid-week. Once that ridge begins
to move east later in the week, rain chances become more
widespread by the end of the week. Unfortunately, not a lot of
temperature changes or any signs of a cooldown coming this week.
In fact, there may need to be Heat Advisories issued this week
with the prolonged heat indices near 105 degrees especially for
areas south of I-44. High temperatures drop into the 80s for
next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

The 18Z TAF period is expected to mostly be characterized by
light and variable winds (a slight preference to northeasterly
wind direction) with mid- and high-level cloud debris from a
decaying rain shield. There is a very low-end chance for an
isolated shower or thunderstorm between 18-02Z, but chances of
impacting TAF sites are less than 10%.

After 06Z, winds shift and increase a bit to 8-12 kts out of
the south-southeast.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Price