


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
592 FXUS66 KSGX 162035 AFDSGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 135 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Drier and warmer weather the next several days with weak offshore flow and high pressure building in, allowing temperatures to rise to near normal. Slightly cooler for early next week as an upper level low moves inland, decreasing heights. The low will bring further cooling for the end of the next week and a low chance of showers. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... A nice quiet weather pattern expected through the weekend as high pressure builds aloft. Any meaningful marine layer will remain absent into Sunday with increasing heights, leading to sunny and warm days with highs near normal. An upper level low pinches off of the main trough on Friday, pivoting off the coast of Southern California where it remains stationary into Sunday morning with light offshore flow. As the low gets closer to the coast on Sunday, decreasing heights and a return of a patchy marine layer will slowly start to cool temperatures over their Saturday/Sunday peak. Highs this weekend will be in the 70s along the coast, low to mid 80s for valleys and the Inland Empire, 60s and low 70s in the mountains, and upper 80s/low 90s in the Coachella Valley. The aforementioned low moves inland Tuesday into Wednesday, with models remaining a bit spread on how far north the system will go. Regardless, this low will be lacking much moisture and any showers that manage to develop will be fairly confined to the mountains, with any precipitation expected to be light. The best chances for rain will be Wednesday into Thursday, and temperatures will fall both days to around 3-7 degrees below normal. As the low moves further inland, it looks to transition to an open trough, with more zonal flow aloft and a slow warming trend into the end of next week. && .AVIATION... 162000Z....Clear and VFR conditions through Friday. && .MARINE... No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Monday. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...None. PZ...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Zuber AVIATION/MARINE...KW