Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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Spot Forecast for Fobes Fire...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service San Diego CA
820 AM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Seasonably warm and dry conditions expected through the weekend
with the exception of a 20% chance of thunderstorms Thursday and
Friday afternoons. Any thunderstorm that develops may contain
gusty winds and rainfall rates up to 0.40"/hr.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 4 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northwest at 7 mph with
gusts to 12 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph.

TIME (PDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   7   7   7   7   7   7   14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  77  81  85  86  88  89  88  87  85
RH..............38  27  22  21  24  25  27  28  29  31
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   5   5   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   7   8   9   10  11  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   6
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   SW  W   SW  W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 4 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest around 5 mph becoming light and variable.
CWR.................2 percent.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast
                    2 to 3 mph after 3 am.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14  14  8   8   8   22  22  22  22  22  22  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............80  76  70  66  63  61  58  58  55  54  54  53
RH..............37  46  56  67  70  69  73  72  77  78  77  77
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  W   NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.11  9   9   8   7   6   6   5   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   NW  W   NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   5   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  N   NE  N   N   W   W   E   SW  NW  SE
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   0   0   0   0   0   0   5
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 3 mph
                    in the afternoon, then turning west.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph
                    in the afternoon, then turning west. Gusty
and erratic winds possible near thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Light winds shifting to the east around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 2 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 6 mph.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  41  41  41  41  42  42  42  42  42  42  32
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............52  58  66  75  80  82  83  83  83  84  84  83
RH..............76  66  57  39  33  32  33  35  38  39  39  40
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.4   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  8
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  S   S   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   W   NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4
Ridge wind dir..E   SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   NE
Ridge wind spd..0   0   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...KYLE WHEELER
Requested by...Emerson Hammerslag
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518114.0/SGX
.DELDT 07/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL emerson.hammerslag@usda.gov