669
FXUS64 KSHV 041130
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
530 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

 - Cooler and drier air will continue filter in behind the recent
   cold front with more seasonable temperatures expected through
   the end of this week.

 - A weaker cold front will move through the region on Friday,
   reinforcing the cool and dry air mass already in place with
   little if any chance of additional rainfall.

 - An upper-level disturbance will eject the from the Rockies into
   the Plains by late this weekend and may induce some scattered
   showers for parts of our region on Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

After some very welcome and much needed rainfall over the past 24
hours, the pattern will trend drier and generally cooler over the
next 7 days. Temperatures will be seasonable behind yesterday`s
cold front with daily highs in the 70s and overnight lows in the
40s and 50s through the end of the work week. A weak reinforcing
cold front will pass quietly through the region on Friday with
little fanfare as a lack of moisture should preclude any chances
of rain despite some added forcing along an accompanying shortwave
trough. Slight cooler temperatures are expected on Saturday with
afternoon highs ranging from the mid 60s to lower 70s from north
to south.

By Saturday night into the day on Sunday, our next chance of rain
will emerge as an upper-level trough is progged to dive southeast
from the Four Corners region and Southern Rockies before spilling
into our region. However, it doesn`t appear that rainfall will be
widespread despite the increased forcing as moisture will continue
to remain quite limited. If anything, the increasing cloud cover
and prevailing NE sfc winds will yield even cooler temperatures on
Sunday into Monday with highs generally ranging through the 60s.
Medium-range guidance diverges beyond that with a more progressive
pattern depicted by the GFS while the Euro struggles to fully lift
the trough out of the area. For now, will continue to trend with
a drier forecast and seasonably mild temperatures to begin early
next week although the chance of a longer period of unsettled
weather will certainly bear watching.

/19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 528 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

For the 04/12Z TAFs, high pressure building across the region will
maintain northwest winds 5 to 10 knots through the day, becoming
light and variable after 05/00Z. Otherwise, outside of possible
MVFR/IFR vsbys near daybreak across select terminals, VFR
conditions to prevail through the period. /05/


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  48  73  53 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  73  46  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  72  39  73  47 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  70  45  72  50 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  73  41  77  45 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  71  48  75  54 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  70  44  74  51 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  75  45  79  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...05