016
FXUS64 KSHV 060552
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1252 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

 - A Heat Advisory remains in place for the majority of the region
   for Sunday.

 - This above normal summer heat will continue through the rest of
   the weekend through next week.

 - We will continue to see daily afternoon showers and
   thunderstorms through much of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

As mentioned in the previous discussion, our Heat Advisory for
Sunday was expanded further to the south, generally along the I-20
corridor and north, with the exception of a few more parishes to
the south central Louisiana. Those areas that are void of a Heat
Advisory for today are due to the threat for isolated convection
and increased cloud cover today. Going forward into Monday, it is
likely that we will have to extend this to the remainder of the
forecast area, but stay tuned for that as things could change.
Otherwise, ridging aloft will remain settled over our region,
which will keep the heat in place for the foreseeable future.
Although, model runs tonight are indicating that we could see some
"cooler" temperatures towards the end of next week.

As for rain chances, the short and sweet of it is that we will
continue to see daily chances for afternoon showers and
thunderstorms, granted I don`t think we will see anything as
widespread as what we saw today. I think the majority of the
convection this week will be in the form of diurnally driven and
from any sea breeze convection that can push this way. As is
common with isolated storms of this nature, some areas could see a
significant amount of rainfall, while others could be left dry,
sometimes even just a few miles apart. So, overall QPF amounts
will remain low over the next several days, but there could be
some areas that do see more than others. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, light S wind or calm in many locales
with fair skies aside from lingering convective debris still
clearing. Near saturation currently in more than one locale with a
few good soakings today. KLFK is already dragging clouds right off
the deck at 002 with little more than a statue mile of vsby. So
covering the well rained on sites with similar tempos around
daybreak. Otherwise, southerly winds 5-10KT and another hot Summer
day and some convection west of I-49 as the hot&dry doldrums resume.
/24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  97  77  99  75 /  10  10  10   0
MLU  99  76 100  72 /  10  10   0   0
DEQ 101  72 101  70 /  10   0   0   0
TXK  99  76  99  73 /  10  10   0   0
ELD 101  74 100  70 /  10  10   0   0
TYR  97  76  99  75 /  10   0  10   0
GGG  98  75 101  74 /  10   0  10   0
LFK  91  74  95  74 /  10   0  20   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for LAZ001>006-012>014-019-021-022.

OK...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138.

&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...24