058
FXUS64 KSHV 041208
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
708 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

 - The influx of tropical moisture associated with the remnants of
   Edouard has largely dissipated across the region this evening.

 - Upper-level ridging will strengthen over the area heading into
   the weekend, facilitating a return to typical summer temps.

 - Despite the strengthening ridge, daily probabilities for
   showers and thunderstorms will persist into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Tropical moisture associated with the remnants of what was
Tropical Storm Edouard has largely dissipated across the region
this evening. This will not mean a complete end to our
precipitation chances though. Upper-level ridging will begin to
strengthen over the area, but we will continue to see daily
probabilities for showers and thunderstorms into the weekend. The
most favorable conditions for this activity will be through
Sunday, mainly or locations south of the I-20 corridor. However,
as the ridge gains more influence over the region, these daily
thunderstorm chances will become increasingly limited heading into
next week.

As that upper-level ridge continues to build into the weekend, a
typical summertime heat will quickly return to the area. We will
once again remain borderline for the issuance of any official
heat-related products today, but probabilities for reaching at
least advisory criteria will steadily increase heading into the
late weekend and into the start of next week. Looking ahead, there
is unfortunately no real relief from the heat in sight through the
long-term forecast period. The upper-level ridge is expected to
linger and remain entrenched over the region, keeping temperatures
elevated for the foreseeable future. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 701 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, fair skies overnight with no MVFR as
of yet this morning, so brief should any develop. Winds will be
calm or light and variable early this morning, prevailing SE for
most 5-10KT. Scattered cumulus by noon with VCSH for LA sites and
KLFK with an isolated thunderstorms possible. Little change into
the weekend with warm to hot muggy days and southerly winds with
more MVFR to start and more convective coverage along and south of
I-20 on Saturday, falling back to isolated for Sunday. /24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  96  76  95  76 /  20  10  40  10
MLU  96  74  95  75 /  20  20  20  10
DEQ  97  71  99  71 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  96  74  97  75 /   0   0  10   0
ELD  98  73  97  72 /  10  10  20   0
TYR  93  73  94  74 /   0   0  30   0
GGG  96  73  96  73 /  10  10  50   0
LFK  95  73  93  73 /  20  10  70  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...24