121
FXUS64 KSHV 310607
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
107 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

 - A Heat Advisory remains in effect through 8 PM Friday night as
   heat indices will climb from 105 to 109 degrees areawide.

 - Seasonable temps and rain chances return once again Saturday,
   as another cold front moves into the region. The best rain
   chances will be along and south of the Interstate 20 corridor.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Rain chances have ended across the region tonight, as the weak
cool front responsible for rain the past couple of days will
continue to retreat back to the northeast overnight. For Friday,
expect upper ridging to build back over the region. This will
result in more hot and humid conditions, along with mostly dry
weather. Therefore, the current Heat Advisory has been extended
until 8 PM Friday evening.

However, Friday`s pattern will be short-lived, as the center of
the ridge will shift westward. With deep troughing expected to be
in place across the eastern CONUS, the flow aloft will shift to
more of a northwesterly direction across the region. This flow
will slowly drive another weak cool front southward into the
area late Friday through much of Saturday. Short-term progs have
some slight rain chances moving into McCurtain County Oklahoma and
adjacent portions of SW Arkansas, north of Interstate 30, as
early as Friday evening. Slight to low chance POPs will accompany
the front as it slowly pushes through the area on Saturday, with
models suggesting the best chances will be in locations along and
south of the Interstate 20 corridor. The front is expected to push
through the entire forecast area on Saturday, then eventually
wash out. Dry conditions are expected to return by Sunday and
through much of next week, as upper ridging builds back over a
large chunk of the country west of the Mississippi River. Can`t
rule out more areawide heat advisories during this period. /20/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

For the 31/06Z TAF update, mainly VFR conditions are expected with
some SCT250 cigs and light southerly winds at 5-10 kts carrying
maximum strength at 31/18Z-01/00Z. /16/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours. /20/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  99  80  97  73 /   0  30  10   0
MLU  98  79  98  73 /  10  30  20   0
DEQ  99  74  92  69 /   0  20   0   0
TXK  99  79  94  72 /   0  10   0   0
ELD  96  77  95  72 /   0  20  10   0
TYR  99  79  98  72 /   0  20  10   0
GGG  99  78  97  72 /   0  20  10   0
LFK  98  77  95  72 /   0  20  30  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&


$$

DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...16