346
FXUS64 KSHV 260000
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
700 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1121 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

 - Dry conditions will remain across the region through the
   upcoming weekend, with a slight warming trend.

 - Rain chances will return across portions of the region by
   Wednesday and spread to the remainder of the region through at
   least Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Surface high to remain parked across the region through the early
part of the weekend allowing for light winds areawide.
A slight warming trend is expected through Saturday as the
prevailing cooler airmass begins to gradually moderate. However,
weak southerly flow returning to the region on Sunday to drive
high temperatures to the mid 90s through midweek.

Northwest flow aloft to increase across the ArkLaTex as the
prevailing upper-ridge shifts southwest. Weak disturbances in the
flow could bring widely scattered convection to parts of
northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma from Sunday into Monday.

An eastward moving upper-ridge to bring dry conditions to the
region on Tuesday. However, widespread beneficial rainfall
expected from Wednesday into Thursday as an upper-trough swings
east across the region. For the past several model runs, the GFS
has indicated that the trough may be slow to exist the region
allowing for continued rain chances into Thursday night. Otherwise,
increased cloud-cover and precipitation will allow for cooler
highs in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees on Wednesday and
Thursday. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 642 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

For the 26/00Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected to prevail
through the period with slightly more prevalent Cu fields as some
additional moisture seeps further westward. With high pressure in
place aloft, surface winds will remain mostly light and variable
with some easterly to southeasterly speeds near 5 kts. likely by
the end of the period. /16/


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1121 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the upcoming weekend.

/05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  67  92  68  95 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  65  92  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  63  91  64  94 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  65  92  67  95 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  63  92  64  95 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  68  92  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  66  93  67  96 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  68  90  68  92 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...16