Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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382 FXUS64 KSHV 100558 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1158 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 - Cold High pressure has finally moved eastward across the MS River with southerly winds lifting in warmer air off the Gulf. - A warming trend will continue into Wednesday with another shift to NW with a dry passage of a bubble high of 1022mb. - Seasonal temps for the short term and above average 70s back in for Friday and to kick off the weekend, followed by another big 1040+ mb surface high gusting NE winds overnight into Sunday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 11 a.m. obs have all improved with visibility, but temps will take another hour or two at least. A mix of chilly upper 30s and lower 40s are set to add another 10 to 15 degrees for highs this mid afternoon. The cold air mass will scour slightly out our local river vallies for a warmer day on Wednesday, which should preclude much fog for low clouds instead, breaking late morning again. A range of 40s to start for most with some above average 60s for highs. However, the winds will be shifting from SW to NW again to round out the with slightly cooler readings briefly on Thursday, before resuming a move toward "room temperatures" for Friday and Saturday. Moisture return on the back side of the weak bubble high should translate into some light showers on Saturday and Saturday night before the next big cold front for Sunday. Our winds will be backing (back dooring) to NE overnight, setting us up for more clouds and eventually some light rainfall, less than a tenth per WPC days 4 & 5. Meanwhile, our high temps will tumble back to below average for the end of our long term here with more ascent over the shallow chill from a 1042mb sprawling air mass pouring down the MS River Valley, This will likely be bringing soil wetting showers back in earnest during early next week, especially if you like the ECMWF. For now, our QPF is from the WPC with expectations for around a half inch widespread in their days 6 & 7. /24/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 For the 10/06z TAFs, VFR conditions will prevail initially as high cirrus clouds spread southward. Satellite loops already show patchy fog and low clouds developing between KJAS and the Sabine River. It`s uncertain how much coverage will ultimately develop, but current thinking is KLFK and portions of Deep East Texas eastward into Central Louisiana will be the most likely areas to experience lowered cigs/vsbys and MVFR flight conditions. Low clouds should be more SCT farther north. A frontal boundary will move across the area after 10/12z causing surface winds to become northwesterly and northerly areawide. Dry air advection behind the front will quickly scour out any remaining low clouds by 10/19z. VFR conditions should prevail areawide after that, with skies becoming mostly clear with winds generally 5 kts or less around sunset. /09/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 40 66 38 63 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 38 64 36 59 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 34 60 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 37 63 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 39 61 32 57 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 44 65 37 63 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 43 65 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 42 68 38 65 / 0 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...24 AVIATION...09