382
FXUS64 KSHV 100558
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1158 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

 - Cold High pressure has finally moved eastward across the MS
   River with southerly winds lifting in warmer air off the Gulf.

 - A warming trend will continue into Wednesday with another
   shift to NW with a dry passage of a bubble high of 1022mb.

 - Seasonal temps for the short term and above average 70s back in
   for Friday and to kick off the weekend, followed by another big
   1040+ mb surface high gusting NE winds overnight into Sunday.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

11 a.m. obs have all improved with visibility, but temps will take
another hour or two at least. A mix of chilly upper 30s and lower
40s are set to add another 10 to 15 degrees for highs this mid
afternoon. The cold air mass will scour slightly out our local
river vallies for a warmer day on Wednesday, which should
preclude much fog for low clouds instead, breaking late morning
again. A range of 40s to start for most with some above average
60s for highs. However, the winds will be shifting from SW to NW
again to round out the with slightly cooler readings briefly on
Thursday, before resuming a move toward "room temperatures" for
Friday and Saturday.

Moisture return on the back side of the weak bubble high should
translate into some light showers on Saturday and Saturday night
before the next big cold front for Sunday. Our winds will be
backing (back dooring) to NE overnight, setting us up for more
clouds and eventually some light rainfall, less than a tenth per
WPC days 4 & 5. Meanwhile, our high temps will tumble back to
below average for the end of our long term here with more ascent
over the shallow chill from a 1042mb sprawling air mass pouring
down the MS River Valley, This will likely be bringing soil
wetting showers back in earnest during early next week, especially
if you like the ECMWF. For now, our QPF is from the WPC with
expectations for around a half inch widespread in their days 6 & 7.
/24/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1140 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

For the 10/06z TAFs, VFR conditions will prevail initially as high
cirrus clouds spread southward. Satellite loops already show
patchy fog and low clouds developing between KJAS and the Sabine
River. It`s uncertain how much coverage will ultimately develop,
but current thinking is KLFK and portions of Deep East Texas
eastward into Central Louisiana will be the most likely areas to
experience lowered cigs/vsbys and MVFR flight conditions. Low
clouds should be more SCT farther north. A frontal boundary will
move across the area after 10/12z causing surface winds to become
northwesterly and northerly areawide. Dry air advection behind the
front will quickly scour out any remaining low clouds by 10/19z.
VFR conditions should prevail areawide after that, with skies
becoming mostly clear with winds generally 5 kts or less around
sunset.

/09/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  40  66  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  38  64  36  59 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  34  60  31  58 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  63  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  39  61  32  57 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  44  65  37  63 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  43  65  35  63 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  42  68  38  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...09