696
FXUS64 KSHV 261903
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
203 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

 - Upper-level heat ridge will build stronger across the region
   through mid to late week, maintaining daily heat headlines.

 - A weak front will approach the region late this week but will
   struggle to make southward progress given the strength of the
   ridge, although it may provide some very low-end rain chances.

 - Medium-range guidance continues to suggest a stronger frontal
   boundary will arrive by next weekend, bringing more seasonable
   temperatures and slightly higher rain chances for most areas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

The dreaded upper-level ridge has begun to exert more influence on
our region once again, propelling afternoon temperatures well into
the 90s with a few more hours of heating yet to come. Fortunately,
dew points continue to mix out slightly across much of the region
so heat indices are mostly marginal so far today for meeting our
heat advisory thresholds. However, it appears we will struggle to
mix out this low-level moisture over the next few days while high
temperatures are only expected to climb through at least mid-week.
Therefore, have already extended our Heat Advisory through early
Monday evening with additional extensions and possible upgrades to
Extreme Heat Warning criteria on the table for later this week.

As the upper ridge amplifies a bit more over the Southern Plains,
look for a gradual stair-step in terms of daily high temperatures
this week with upper 90s to lower triple digits becoming the norm
once again. In addition, increasing subsidence will also lead to
less mixing with dew points in mid and upper 70s returning. Thus,
the concern for escalating heat hazards throughout much if not all
of this upcoming week. At this point, Heat Advisory conditions are
a given while any upgrades to an Extreme Heat Warning remain less
certain. For now, will continue to monitor daily trends to inform
on future heat hazard/headline decisions through the end of this
week.

As for any possible heat relief, medium-range guidance suggests we
will have to wait until next weekend for that opportunity. While a
weak frontal boundary will approach the region by Wednesday into
Thursday, it will likely remain to our NE and only present low-end
rain chances across mainly our E/NE zones late in the week. Then,
a stronger front appears poised to arrive by Saturday as the upper
ridge retrogrades farther west out across Four-Corners Region next
weekend. This pattern shift will likely result in more seasonable
temperatures for the weekend along with at least a small uptick in
rain chances across the region.

/19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR should prevail all cycle for all but
KLFK where we have a light BR around daybreak. SCT Cu today is now 4-
5kft and from KLFK to KSHV/KELD and points SE, and only FEW Cu in E
TX. Our winds are generally SW 5-10KT for our sites. Fair skies this
evening as wind slacks and backs to S before resuming SW5-10KT on
Monday with very similar conditions under this expanding heat upper
ridge to our NW. A weak front will retrograde the upper ridge toward
the end of the month, bringing our next chance for rainfall.

/24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  78  98  79  99 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  99  78 100 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  74  98  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  78 102  79 103 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  77  99  77 100 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  77 100  77 101 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  76  96  76  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Monday for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Monday for LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Monday for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Monday for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&


$$

DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...24