508
FXUS64 KSHV 221049
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
549 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Upper-level ridging will begin to shift west today, setting the
stage for our extended hot period into next week. Truthfully,
there are only so many ways I can tell you "It`s going to be hot."
Given the lack of anything else in the short-term, I`ll just I`ll
just skip straight to telling you "The long-term is also hot."

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

The long-term is also hot.

By Monday, we will likely be looking at our first "area-wide"
issuance for heat hazards, with most of the region reaching heat
advisory criteria. This trend will continue for the next few days,
and may end up lasting the entire week, with heat index values
over 105 degrees. There remains the chance for at least some
relief Wednesday into Thursday, as a trough and cold front begin
to move through the Midwest. This trough may increase shower and
thunderstorm chances across some of the region, but the overall
extent in PoP coverage and total QPF amounts still remains to be
seen.

The pattern will at least somewhat break down into next weekend,
as rain chances return in the afternoon in the form of diurnal sea
breeze convection. However, highs will still likely hold in the
upper-90s, with low-100`s not out of the question.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 548 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the 22/12z TAFS...VFR conditions will prevail during the
period with periods of few to scattered mid to high clouds
streaming over the area, along with some afternoon CU. Can`t rule
out a stray shower or two during the afternoon and early evening
hours, but confidence isn`t high enough to include in TAFS at this
time. Otherwise, expect light/variable winds this morning to
become SSW around 5 kts this afternoon, before becoming
light/variable again after sunset. /20/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  97  78  99  79 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  96  74  98  78 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  94  72  97  73 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  96  75  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  94  73  98  76 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  94  75  97  76 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  94  75  96  76 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  95  73  97  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...20