Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
186
FNUS54 KSHV 160613
FWFSHV
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Arkansas...
Northwest Louisiana...East Texas...and Extreme Southeast Oklahoma
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and breezy Saturday with a similar start this morning with
low clouds breaking by mid morning and generally SW winds early,
but not as gusty. In fact, an area of high pressure is settling
down the MS River Valley and will back directions on our winds to
SE by noon in S AR and further to E/NE as the front edges into
our far north. So maybe even a bit cooler afternoon in AR, but
more low to mid 80s elsewhere. Then, lighter SE winds will
continue area wide overnight with no rain to speak of along the
boundary. However, into Tuesday as the boundary lifts back
northward with a low developing in the plains, some showers and
isolated thunderstorms will be possible in our northern fringe of
Counties. Our winds come back around to the SW with some gusts
feeding into the plains states low. Meanwhile, the deep upper
trough will be moving into the SW U.S. and slowly headed eastward
with our expected rain chances for late week. We are still looking
at a good 1 to 3 inch event with highest totals along I-30.
ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-160715-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-McCurtain-
Including the cities of De Queen, Nashville, Mineral Springs,
Dierks, Ashdown, Idabel, and Broken Bow
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 55 (-3) 78
RH % (24h trend) 50 100 (+2) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5 G17 S 4 E 3
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9 LGT/VAR E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 880 1020
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2890 3350
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 E 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 E 18
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7040 8160
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52020 60300
Category Day 3 4
Dispersion Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Mix Hgt 500 67 69
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ060-061-070>073-160715-
Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-
Including the cities of Hope, Prescott, Texarkana, Stamps,
Lewisville, Bradley, Magnolia, and El Dorado
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 56 (-4) 79
RH % (24h trend) 51 100 (0) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 8 SW 4 LGT/VAR
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7 LGT/VAR E 3
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 970 1190
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3200 3900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 E 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 E 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7760 5950
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 46800
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 7 3
Mix Hgt 500 69 73
Stability Class C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-137-138-160715-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
Marion-Gregg-Harrison-
Including the cities of Clarksville, Bogata, Texarkana,
Mount Vernon, Mount Pleasant, Pittsburg, Daingerfield, Lone Star,
Naples, Omaha, Atlanta, Linden, Hughes Springs, Queen City,
Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins, Gilmer, Big Sandy,
Jefferson, Longview, and Marshall
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 60 (-2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 52 100 (+2) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 8 G19 S 6 S 4
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10 G18 S 5 SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 960 1280
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3150 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SE 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7680 6400
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56700 50400
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Mix Hgt 500 68 71
Stability Class C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ136-149>153-160715-
Smith-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-
Including the cities of Tyler, Jacksonville, Rusk, Henderson,
Carthage, Nacogdoches, and Center
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 59 (-2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 50 100 (0) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 6 G19 S 6 SW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10 G18 SW 6 S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1000 1120
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3280 3680
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 S 9
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7000 4480
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52480 33120
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Mix Hgt 500 69 72
Stability Class C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ165>167-160715-
Angelina-San Augustine-Sabine-
Including the cities of Lufkin, San Augustine, Hemphill,
and Pineland
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 57 (-1) 84
RH % (24h trend) 48 100 (0) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 4 S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7 SW 4 S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1100 1080
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3590 3550
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 8
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 6600 4320
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50260 28400
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 8 4
Mix Hgt 500 71 74
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ001>004-012-160715-
Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Bienville-
Including the cities of Shreveport, Bossier City, Minden,
Springhill, Homer, Haynesville, Arcadia, Ringgold, and Gibsland
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 57 (-3) 82
RH % (24h trend) 50 100 (+1) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 7 S 5 SW 3
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 4 LGT/VAR
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1040 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3410 4260
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 SE 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SE 6
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7280 3900
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54560 25560
Category Day 3 2
Dispersion Good Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 3
Mix Hgt 500 70 74
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ005-006-013-014-160715-
Lincoln-Union-Jackson-Ouachita-
Including the cities of Ruston, Farmerville, Bernice, Jonesboro,
and Monroe
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 58 (-2) 80
RH % (24h trend) 48 100 (+1) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 6 SW 5 W 3
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9 SW 5 LGT/VAR
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1070 1290
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3520 4220
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 NE 2
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 NE 5
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8560 2580
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59840 21100
Category Day 4 2
Dispersion Very Good Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 4
Mix Hgt 500 72 74
Stability Class C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 80. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
LAZ010-011-017-018-160715-
De Soto-Red River-Sabine-Natchitoches-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport,
Coushatta, Martin, Many, Zwolle, Pleasant Hill, and Natchitoches
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 58 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 45 100 (0) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 6 S 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 5 S 3
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1080 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3530 3940
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 S 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 S 6
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7560 3600
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52950 23640
Category Day 3 2
Dispersion Good Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 2 7 3
Mix Hgt 500 71 74
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs around 80. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ019>022-160715-
Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-
Including the cities of Winnfield, Colfax, Montgomery, Dry Prong,
Clarks, Grayson, Columbia, Jena, Midway, and Olla
1213 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 57 (-2) 83
RH % (24h trend) 46 100 (+1) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5 S 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 5 LGT/VAR
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1160 1310
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3790 4300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 SW 2
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 5
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8120 2620
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56850 21500
Category Day 4 2
Dispersion Very Good Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 2 7 3
Mix Hgt 500 72 75
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 10 mph.
$$